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Carla Gonçalves is a Pos-doc Researcher at the Centre for Power and Energy Systems in INESC TEC. In 2021, she obtained a Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics from the Faculty of Sciences of the University of Porto (FCUP). She received the M.Sc. in Applied Mathematics from FCUP, in 2015. From 2015 to 2019, she was involved in a wide range of energy forecast consulting collaborations between INESC TEC and the industry: REN (Portugal), EDP Renewables (Spain), RTE (France), and EDP Gestão da Produção de Energia (Portugal). Since then, she is associated with the H2020 Smart4RES project. Her research has been focused on probabilistic and collaborative forecasting methods, with a special emphasis on renewable energies, data privacy, and monetization. During her scientific career, she has co-authored 12 scientific papers (6 Q1 journals with impact factors between 3.414 and 7.917, and 6 international conference proceedings) and has submitted a patent (currently pending). She also served as an Invited Assistant Professor at the University of Porto for one semester.
Identification

Personal identification

Full name
Carla Gonçalves
Date of birth
1992/02/01
Gender
Female

Citation names

  • Gonçalves, Carla
  • Carla Gonçalves
  • C. Gonçalves

Author identifiers

Ciência ID
951C-A14F-9E61
ORCID iD
0000-0001-5684-9933

Knowledge fields

  • Exact Sciences - Mathematics - Applied Mathematics
  • Exact Sciences - Mathematics - Statistics and Probability

Languages

Language Speaking Reading Writing Listening Peer-review
Portuguese (Mother tongue)
English Upper intermediate (B2) Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1) Upper intermediate (B2) Advanced (C1)
Education
Degree Classification
2016/09/26 - 2021/07/14
Concluded
Applied Mathematics (Doutoramento)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
"Renewable Energy Forecasting - Extreme Quantiles, Data Privacy and Monetization (https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/bitstream/10216/135580/2/487920.pdf)" (THESIS/DISSERTATION)
Approved
2016/09/26 - 2017/09/19
Concluded
Advanced Topics in Applied Mathematics (Curso de doutoramento (conclusão de unidades curriculares))
Major in Applied mathematics
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
18
2013/09/16 - 2015/12/11
Concluded
Mathematical Engineering (Mestrado)
Major in Applied mathematics
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
"Modelação de quotas de mercado" (THESIS/DISSERTATION)
17
2010/09/13 - 2013/06/28
Concluded
Mathematics (Licenciatura)
Major in Matemática Aplicada
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
16
Affiliation

Science

Category
Host institution
Employer
2021/08/16 - Current Postdoc (Research) Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal
2015/10/12 - 2021/08/14 Researcher (Research) Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Portugal
Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência Center for Research in Advanced Computing Systems, Portugal

Teaching in Higher Education

Category
Host institution
Employer
2022/09/01 - 2023/02/02 Invited Assistant Professor (University Teacher) Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Engenharia, Portugal
2021/04/19 - 2021/07/31 Invited Assistant (University Teacher) Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Engenharia, Portugal
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Engenharia, Portugal
Projects

Other

Designation Funders
2019 - Current Smart4RES - Next Generation Modelling and Forecasting of Variable Renewable Generation for Large-scale Integration in Energy Systems and Markets
Ongoing
Outputs

Publications

Conference paper
  1. Kariniotakis, G.; Camal, S.; Sossan, F.; Nouri, B.; Lezaca, J.; Lange, M.; Alonzo, B.; et al. "Data Science for Next Generation Renewable Energy Forecasting - Highlight Results from the Smart4RES Project". 2021.
    10.1049/icp.2021.2499
  2. Goncalves, Carla; Ribeiro, Miguel; Viana, Joao; Fernandes, Renato; Villar, Jose; Bessa, Ricardo; Correia, Goncalo; et al. "Explanatory and Causal Analysis of the Portuguese Manual Balancing Reserve". Madrid, 2021.
    10.1109/powertech46648.2021.9494983
  3. Gonçalves, Carla. "Explanatory and Causal Analysis of the MIBEL Electricity Market Spot Price". 2019.
    10.1109/PTC.2019.8810763
  4. Gonçalves, Carla. "Evaluation of the Uncertainties used to Perform Flow Security Assessment: A Real Case Study". 2019.
    10.1109/PTC.2019.8810649
  5. Bessa, Ricardo J.; Rua, David; Abreu, Cláudia; Machado, Paulo; Andrade, José R.; Pinto, Rui; Gonçalves, Carla; Reis, Marisa. "Data Economy for Prosumers in a Smart Grid Ecosystem". 2018.
    10.1145/3208903.3210282
  6. Matos, M. A.; Bessa, R. J.; Goncalves, C.; Cavalcante, L.; Miranda, V.; Machado, N.; Marques, P.; Matos, F.. "Setting the maximum import net transfer capacity under extreme RES integration scenarios". 2016.
    10.1109/pmaps.2016.7764145
Journal article
  1. Sampaio, Gil; Bessa, Ricardo J.; Gonçalves, Carla; Gouveia, Clara. "Conditional parametric model for sensitivity factors in LV grids: A privacy-preserving approach". Electric Power Systems Research 211 (2022): 108316. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2022.108316.
    10.1016/j.epsr.2022.108316
  2. Goncalves, Carla; Bessa, Ricardo J.; Pinson, Pierre. "Privacy-Preserving Distributed Learning for Renewable Energy Forecasting". IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12 3 (2021): 1777-1787. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tste.2021.3065117.
    10.1109/tste.2021.3065117
  3. Carla Gonçalves; Laura Cavalcante; Margarida Brito; Ricardo J. Bessa; João Gama. "Forecasting conditional extreme quantiles for wind energy". Electric Power Systems Research 190 (2021): 106636-106636. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2020.106636.
    10.1016/j.epsr.2020.106636
  4. Gonçalves, Carla. "A critical overview of privacy-preserving approaches for collaborative forecasting". International Journal of Forecasting (2020): https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S016920702030090X.
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.06.003
  5. Goncalves, Carla; Pinson, Pierre; Bessa, Ricardo Jorge. "Towards Data Markets in Renewable Energy Forecasting". IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy (2020): 1-1. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tste.2020.3009615.
    Accepted • 10.1109/tste.2020.3009615
  6. Gonçalves, Carla. "A methodology to evaluate the uncertainties used to perform security assessment for branch overloads". International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems 112 (2019): 169-177. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S014206151833881X.
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijepes.2019.04.043
Thesis / Dissertation
  1. "Renewable Energy Forecasting - Extreme Quantiles, Data Privacy and Monetization.". PhD, Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, 2021. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/bitstream/10216/135580/2/487920.pdf.
  2. "Modelação de Quotas de Mercado (Modeling of Market Shares)". Master, Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, 2015. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/82356.

Intellectual property

Patent
  1. Bessa, R.J.G.S.B; Gonçalves, C.S.S.. 2020. "Method and device for preserving privacy of linear regression distributed learning (currently pending)".
    Pending
Activities

Oral presentation

Presentation title Event name
Host (Event location)
2020/10/16 Data market for collaborative renewable energy forecasting 40th International Symposium on Forecasting
International Institute of Forecasters (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)
2020/07/01 Forecasting conditional extreme quantiles for wind energy Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC)
INESC TEC (Porto)
2017/06/26 Feature extraction techniques that improve wind power probabilistic forecasting Wind Energy Science Conference 2017, Mini Symposia "Wind Power Forecasting"
Denmark Technical University (DTU) (Lyngby, Denmark)

Supervision

Thesis Title
Role
Degree Subject (Type)
Institution / Organization
2022/02/01 - Current Operational efficiency in the detection of TCA in natural and champagne corks: a statistical analysis
Co-supervisor
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal

Event participation

Activity description
Type of event
Event name
Institution / Organization
2021/09/15 - 2021/09/15 Training for REN (Portuguese Transmission System Operator). Main role: explanation and illustration of multivariate and probabilistic power forecasting.
Workshop
CampusREN
Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal
2018/07/03 - 2018/07/03 Training for REN (Portuguese Transmission System Operator). Main role: explanation and illustration of multivariate and probabilistic power forecasting.
Workshop
CampusREN
Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal
2017/07/07 - 2017/07/07 Training for REN (Portuguese Transmission System Operator). Main role: explanation and illustration of multivariate and probabilistic power forecasting.
Workshop
CampusREN
Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal

Ad Hoc journal article review

Journal title (ISSN) Publisher
2021/02/01 - Current IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid (1949-3053) Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
2021/01/07 - Current Machine Learning (1573-0565) Elsevier
2019/09/06 - Current IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (1558-0679) Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
2019/06/04 - Current International Journal of Forecasting Elsevier
2018/08/05 - Current IEEE Power Engineering Letters (1558-1705) Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
2018/03/15 - Current IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy (1949-3037) Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers

Consulting

Activity description Institution / Organization
2018/09/01 - 2019/01/31 Contract with EDP - Gestão da Produção de Energia, S.A.: Understanding the main factors that influence the electricity prices and the mobilization of reserves. Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal

EDP - Gestão da Produção de Energia, S.A, Portugal
2017/09/01 - 2018/09/30 Contract with RTE France (transmission system operator): Development of computation methods and tools in order to assess the advantages of using uncertainty models (that estimate conditional quantiles) to predict the security of electrical systems in case of overloading in the branches. Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal

Reseau de Transport d'Electricite, France
2016/05/01 - 2017/03/30 Contract with EDP Renewables: Development of probabilistic wind power forecast methods based on quantile regression in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) and weather ensembles. Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal

EDP Renewables, Spain
2015/10/12 - 2016/04/30 Contract with REN (transmission system operator): Development of statistical decision tools to estimate: a) the operational reserve level of the electrical system, b) the maximum import net transfer capacity levels, that guarantees that a certain risk is not surpassed. Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal

Redes Energéticas Nacionais SGPS SA, Portugal
2014/09/01 - 2015/02/28 M.Sc. internship in market-share modeling based on promotional campaigns and data mining techniques. SONAE, Portugal

Evaluation committee

Activity description
Role
Institution / Organization Funding entity
2021/05/17 - 2021/11/25 Student member in evaluation/accreditation committees of study cycles, masters and doctorates, in the area of Mathematics.
Evaluator
A3ES - Agência de Avaliação e Acreditação do Ensino Superior, Portugal

Interview (newspaper / magazine)

Activity description Newspaper / Forum
2021/07/12 Business model for start-up based on data monetization. Expresso

Scientific expedition

Activity description Institution / Organization
2019/04/01 - 2019/09/30 Part of the doctoral work was developed in collaboration with Professor Pierre Pinson from the Technical University of Denmark (DTU). This collaboration led to a six-month external stay at DTU (Lyngby, Denmark). Danmarks Tekniske Universitet, Denmark
Distinctions

Award

2022 Finalist in the European Sustainable Energy Awards - Young Energy Trailblazer Category
European Climate Infrastructure and Environment Executive Agency, Belgium
2016 PhD Research Grant from the Doctoral Program (FCT grant PD/BD/128189/2016)
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Portugal

Other distinction

2018 Limelight Series (monthly distinction of INESC TEC employees)
Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Tecnologia e Ciência, Portugal