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Luís Aguiar-Conraria is a Full Professor at the School of Economics and Management, holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Cornell University, a Master's degree in Economics from the University of Porto, and a Bachelor's degree in Economics from the University of Coimbra. He was the President of the School Council, Director of the Department of Economics, and Vice-President for Research and Internationalization at the School of Economics and Management. Since January 5, 2024, he has been the President of the School of Economics and Management at UMinho. He has about forty articles published in international scientific journals, is co-author of three books on the Portuguese Economy, and author of a popular science book. He has received several FCT scholarships. In 2011, he received the Gulbenkian Prize for the Internationalization of the Social Sciences and, in 2010 and 2013, the Research Merit Award, EEG/UMinho. He has about 1850 citations and an H index of 16 according to Scopus. His main research areas are four: 1. Applications of Wavelets to Economics, with both theoretical and empirical contributions; 2. Political Economy, with a set of empirical, theoretical, and experimental works; 3. Portuguese economy; 4. Macroeconomic cycles. He is a member of the Economic Cycle Dating Committee of the Francisco Manuel dos Santos Foundation. He regularly collaborates with the media. Currently, he is a columnist at the weekly newspaper Expresso and a member of Fora do Baralho on Rádio Observador.
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Identificação

Identificação pessoal

Nome completo
LUÍS FRANCISCO GOMES DIAS DE AGUIAR CONRARIA

Nomes de citação

  • Conraria, Luís Francisco Gomes Dias de Aguiar
  • Aguiar-Conraria
  • Aguiar-Conraria, Luis

Identificadores de autor

Ciência ID
BA12-B2DC-2028
ORCID iD
0000-0001-6822-7103
Google Scholar ID
https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=eWsd5NsAAAAJ&hl=en
Researcher Id
B-5864-2009
Scopus Author Id
12798991000

Endereços de correio eletrónico

  • aguiarconraria@gmail.com (Pessoal)

Websites

Domínios de atuação

  • Ciências Sociais - Economia e Gestão - Economia

Idiomas

Idioma Conversação Leitura Escrita Compreensão Peer-review
Português (Idioma materno) Utilizador proficiente (C1) Utilizador proficiente (C1) Utilizador proficiente (C1) Utilizador proficiente (C1)
Inglês Utilizador proficiente (C1) Utilizador proficiente (C1) Utilizador proficiente (C1) Utilizador proficiente (C1)
Formação
Grau Classificação
2013/10
Concluído
 Economia (Título de Agregado)
Especialização em Economia
Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
2001 - 2005
Concluído
 Ph.D in Economics (Doutoramento)
Cornell University, Estados Unidos
"Indeterminacy, Economic Fluctuations, Bubbles and Empirical Sunspots" (TESE/DISSERTAÇÃO)
 Unanimous
2001 - 2003
Concluído
 M.A. in Economics (Mestrado)
Cornell University, Estados Unidos
"Forecasting in Data-Rich Environments" (TESE/DISSERTAÇÃO)
 Unanimous
1998 - 2000
Concluído
 Mestrado em Economia – especialização em Métodos Quantitativos (Mestrado)
Universidade do Porto, Portugal
"The Dynamical Decomposition of Growth and Cycles" (TESE/DISSERTAÇÃO)
 Muito Bom
1992 - 1997
Concluído
 Licenciatura em Economia (Licenciatura)
Universidade de Coimbra, Portugal
 16
Percurso profissional

Docência no Ensino Superior

Categoria Profissional
Instituição de acolhimento 		Empregador
2020/06/01 - Atual Professor Catedrático (Docente Universitário) Universidade do Minho, Portugal
Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
2012/04/24 - 2020/05/31 Professor Associado (Docente Universitário) Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
2005/10/19 - 2012/04/23 Professor Auxiliar (Docente Universitário) Universidade do Minho, Portugal

Cargos e Funções

Categoria Profissional
Instituição de acolhimento 		Empregador
2024/01/05 - Atual Presidente Universidade do Minho, Portugal
Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
2010/04/01 - 2011/10/03 Vice-Presidente da Unidade Orgânica Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal

Outros

Categoria Profissional
Instituição de acolhimento 		Empregador
2014/10/01 - 2017/10/31 Vice-president for Internationalization and Research Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
Projetos

Projeto

Designação Financiadores
2018/10 - 2021/09 It's All About Productivity: contributions to the understanding of the sluggish performance of the Portuguese economy
PTDC/EGE-ECO/29822/2017
Investigador
Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluído
2016/01 - 2018/12 Voting rules and electoral biases
grant.Provided by PTCRIS: 143559
PTDC/IVC-CPO/4925/2014
Investigador responsável
Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluído
2012/03 - 2014/03 POPSTAR - Public Opinion and Sentiment Tracking, Analysis and Research
PTDC/CPJ-CPO/116888/2010
Investigador
Universidade de Lisboa Instituto de Ciências Sociais, Portugal
 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluído
2010/02 - 2013/03 Monetary policy and asset prices in regime-switching economies
PTDC/EGE-ECO/100825/2008
Investigador
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
2008/01/01 - 2011/03/31 Oil shocks and the Macroeconomy: Econometric estimation, economic modeling and policy implications
PTDC/ECO/64750/2006
Investigador responsável
Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluído
Produções

Publicações

Artigo em conferência
  1. Soares, M. J.; Conraria, Luís Aguiar. "Inflation rate dynamics convergence within the euro". 2014.
    10.1007/978-3-319-09144-0_10
  2. Soares, M. J.; Conraria, Luís Aguiar. "Inflation rate dynamics convergence within the euro". 2014.
    10.1007/978-3-319-09144-0_10
  3. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Hong, Yongmiao. "Forecasting in data-rich environments". 2004.
  4. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Hong, Yongmiao. "Forecasting in data-rich environments". 2004.
Artigo em revista
  1. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Martins, Manuel M.F.; Soares, Maria Joana. "The Phillips curve at 65: Time for time and frequency". Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 151 (2023): 104620. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104620.
    10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104620
  2. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Fernandes, Bruno; Magalhães, Pedro C.. "Economic forecasts and executive approval". Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (2023): 1-13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2216462.
    10.1080/17457289.2023.2216462
  3. Mustapha Olalekan Ojo; Luís Aguiar-Conraria; Maria Joana Soares. "The performance of OECD's composite leading indicator". International Journal of Finance & Economics (2023): https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2784.
    10.1002/ijfe.2784
  4. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Conceição, Gilmar; Joana Soares, Maria. "How Far is Gas from becoming a Global Commodity?". The Energy Journal 43 4 (2022): http://dx.doi.org/10.5547/01956574.43.4.lagu.
    10.5547/01956574.43.4.lagu
  5. José Carlos Alexandre; Luís Aguiar-Conraria. "Opinion expression on hazing: has the Spiral of Silence reached the Portuguese higher education?". Journal of Further and Higher Education (2021): 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1080/0309877X.2020.1860205.
    10.1080/0309877X.2020.1860205
  6. Luís Aguiar-Conraria; Pedro C. Magalhães; Christoph A. Vanberg. "What are the best quorum rules? A laboratory investigation". Public Choice (2019): https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-019-00749-6.
    10.1007/s11127-019-00749-6
  7. Magalhães, Pedro C.; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís. "Procedural Fairness, the Economy, and Support for Political Authorities". (2019): http://hdl.handle.net/10451/35389.
    10.1111/pops.12500
  8. Aguiar-Conraria, Luis; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Veiga, Francisco. "Transparency, Policy Outcomes, and Incumbent Support". (2019): http://hdl.handle.net/10451/38457.
    10.1111/kykl.12203
  9. Ojo, Mustapha Olalekan; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Soares, Maria Joana. "A time–frequency analysis of the Canadian macroeconomy and the yield curve". Empirical Economics 58 5 (2018): 2333-2351. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-018-1580-y.
    10.1007/s00181-018-1580-y
  10. Luis Aguiar-Conraria; Manuel M.F. Martins; Maria Joana Soares. "Estimating the Taylor rule in the time-frequency domain". Journal of Macroeconomics 57 (2018): 122-137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.05.008.
    10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.05.008
  11. Luís Aguiar-Conraria; Maria Joana Soares; Rita Sousa. "California's carbon market and energy prices: a wavelet analysis". Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 376 2126 (2018): 20170256-20170256. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2017.0256.
    10.1098/rsta.2017.0256
  12. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Brinca, Pedro; Gudjonsson, Haukur Vidar; Soares, M. J.. "Business cycle synchronization across US states". (2017): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/47845.
    10.1515/bejm-2015-0158
  13. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Vanberg, Christoph A.. "Experimental evidence that quorum rules discourage turnout and promote election boycotts". (2016): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/40083.
    10.1007/s10683-015-9473-9
  14. Sousa, Rita; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís. "Energy and carbon prices: a comparison of interactions in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme and the Western Climate Initiative market". (2015): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/39634.
    10.1080/17583004.2015.1097007
  15. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. "The continuous wavelet transform : moving beyond uni and bivariate analysis". (2014): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/22788.
    10.1111/joes.12012
  16. Sousa, Rita; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. "Carbon financial markets : a time–frequency analysis of CO2 prices". (2014): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/30647.
    10.1016/j.physa.2014.06.058
  17. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. "Convergence of the economic sentiment cycles in the Eurozone : a time-frequency analysis". (2013): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/24848.
    10.1111/j.1468-5965.2012.02315.x
  18. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro; Soares, Maria Joana; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. "The nationalization of electoral cycles in the United States: a wavelet analysis". (2013): http://hdl.handle.net/10451/23376.
    10.1007/s11127-012-0052-8
  19. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. "Cycles in politics : wavelet analysis of political time-series". (2012): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/20006.
    10.1111/j.1540-5907.2011.00566.x
  20. Magalhães, Pedro C.; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Lewis-Beck, Michael S.. "Forecasting Spanish elections". (2012): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/17763.
    10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.04.007
  21. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. "The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies". (2012): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/19481.
    10.1016/j.jedc.2012.05.008
  22. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. "OPEC's oil exporting strategy and macroeconomic (in)stability". (2012): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/12895.
    10.1016/j.eneco.2011.03.014
  23. Aguiar, Sandra; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Gulamhussen, Mohamed Azzim; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Magalhães, Pedro; Aguiar, S.; Aguiar-Conraria, L.; Gulamhussen, M.; Magalhães, P.. "Foreign direct investment and home-country political risk : the case of Brazil". (2012): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/21357.
    10.1353/lar.2012.0013
  24. Aguiar-Conraria, L.; Alexandre, F.; De Pinho, M.C.. "The euro and the growth of the Portuguese economy:a counterfactual analysis,O euro e o crescimento da economia portuguesa: uma análise contrafactual". Analise Social 47 2 (2012): 298-321. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84874181642&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
  25. Soares, M. J.; Conraria, Luís Aguiar. "Wavelets and economics". (2011): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/16171.
  26. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. "Oil and the macroeconomy : using wavelets to analyze old issues". (2011): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/13716.
    10.1007/s00181-010-0371-x
  27. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. "Business cycle synchronization and the Euro: a wavelet analysis". (2011): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/13720.
    10.1016/j.jmacro.2011.02.005
  28. Magalhães, Pedro; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Pereira, Miguel Maria. "As sondagens e os resultados eleitorais em Portugal". (2011): http://hdl.handle.net/10451/6089.
  29. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro; Magalhães, Pedro C.. "Referendum design, quorum rules and turnout". (2010): http://hdl.handle.net/10451/11193.
    10.1007/s11127-009-9504-1
  30. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Magalhães, Pedro; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.. "How quorum rules distort referendum outcomes: Evidence from a pivotal voter model". (2010): http://hdl.handle.net/10451/11544.
    10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2010.03.004
  31. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. "Challenges ahead for the Portuguese". (2009): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/12020.
  32. Magalhães, P.C.; Aguiar-Conraria, L.. "Growth, centrism and semi-presidentialism: Forecasting the Portuguese general elections". Electoral Studies 28 2 (2009): 314-321. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-67349177170&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1016/j.electstud.2009.03.004
  33. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Azevedo, Nuno; Soares, M. J.. "Using wavelets to decompose the time–frequency effects of monetary policy". (2008): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/7865.
    10.1016/j.physa.2008.01.063
  34. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. "A note on the stability properties of Goodwin's predator-prey model". (2008): http://hdl.handle.net/1822/7629.
    10.1177/0486613408324074
  35. Aguiar-Conraria, L.; Wen, Y.. "A note on oil dependence and economic instability". Macroeconomic Dynamics 12 5 (2008): 717-723. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-54949096991&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1017/S1365100508070429
  36. Conraria, Luís Francisco Gomes Dias de Aguiar. "A Note on the Stability Properties of Goodwin's Predator-Prey Model". Review of Radical Political Economics 34 (2007): 34-54.
    Aceite para publicação
  37. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi; Conraria, Luís Francisco Gomes Dias de Aguiar; Yi Wen. "Understanding the large negative impact of oil shocks". Journal of Money Credit and Banking 39 4 (2007): 925-944. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6841.
    Publicado • 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2007.00051.x
  38. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Shell, Karl; Conraria, Luís Francisco Gomes Dias de Aguiar; Karl Shell. "Capital gains". International Journal of Economic Theory 2 3-4 (2006): 331-349. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6842.
    Publicado
  39. Aguiar-Conraria, L.; Shell, K.. "Capital gains: Blue machines and red machines". Singapore Economic Review 50 SPEC. ISS. (2006): 437-447. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-33645467654&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1142/S021759080500213X
  40. Conraria, Luís Francisco Gomes Dias de Aguiar; Karl Shell. "Capital Gains: Red and Blue Machines". Singapore Economics Review 50 1 (2005): 437-448.
    Publicado
  41. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Conraria, Luís Francisco Gomes Dias de Aguiar; Aguiar-Conraria, L.. "Public vs private schooling in an endogenous growth model". Economics Bulletin 9 1 (2005): 1-6. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6844.
    Publicado
  42. Conraria, Luís Francisco Gomes Dias de Aguiar. "The Adequacy of the Traditional Econometric Approach to Nonlinear Cycles". Notas Económicas 17 (2003): 70-83.
    Publicado
Capítulo de livro
  1. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Fernandes, Bruno; Magalhães, Pedro C.. "The Economy and Executive Approval in a Semi-Presidential Regime". In Economics and Politics Revisited, 108-130. Oxford University PressOxford, 2023.
    10.1093/oso/9780192871664.003.0005
  2. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. "Application of wavelets to the study of political history". Springer, 2015.
    10.1007/978-3-642-27737-5_637-1
  3. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Rodrigues, Teresa Maria; Soares, Maria Joana Feijão Ehrhardt. "Oil shocks and the Euro as an optimum currency area". Springer International Publishing, 2014.
    10.1007/978-3-319-07061-2_7
Documento de trabalho
  1. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Vanberg, Christoph A.. 2019. "What are the best quorum rules? A Laboratory Investigation". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/60613.
  2. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Martins,Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. 2019. "The Phillips Curve at 60: time for time and frequency". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/60614.
  3. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, Maria Joana. 2019. "Okun’s law across time and frequencies". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/61961.
  4. Ojo,Mustapha Olalekan; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Soares, Maria Joana. 2019. "A time-frequency analysis of sovereign debt contagion in europe". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/61682.
  5. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Vanberg, Christoph A.. 2019. "What are the best quorum rules? A Laboratory Investigation". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/60613.
  6. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, Maria Joana. 2019. "Okun’s law across time and frequencies". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/61961.
  7. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Martins,Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. 2019. "The Phillips Curve at 60: time for time and frequency". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/60614.
  8. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. 2018. "Estimating the Taylor Rule in the Time-Frequency Domain". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/60224.
  9. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. 2018. "Estimating the Taylor Rule in the Time-Frequency Domain". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/60224.
  10. Ojo, Mustapha Olalekan; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Soares, M. J.. 2017. "A time-frequency analysis of the Canadian macroeconomy and the yield curve". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49403.
  11. Magalhães, Pedro C.; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís. 2017. "Procedural fairness and economic voting". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/48290.
  12. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Soares, M. J.; Sousa, Rita. 2017. "California´s carbon market and energy prices: a wavelet analysis". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49060.
  13. Ojo, Mustapha Olalekan; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Soares, M. J.. 2017. "A time-frequency analysis of the Canadian macroeconomy and the yield curve". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49403.
  14. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Soares, M. J.; Sousa, Rita. 2017. "California´s carbon market and energy prices: a wavelet analysis". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49060.
  15. Magalhães, Pedro C.; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís. 2017. "Procedural fairness and economic voting". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/48290.
  16. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Brinca, Pedro; Haukur, Viðar Guðjónsson; Soares, M. J.. 2015. "Optimum currency area and business cycle synchronization across U.S. States". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/33898.
  17. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Brinca, Pedro; Haukur, Viðar Guðjónsson; Soares, M. J.. 2015. "Optimum currency area and business cycle synchronization across U.S. States". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/33898.
  18. Sousa, Rita; Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2014. "Dynamics of CO2 price drivers". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/27956.
  19. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. 2014. "Estimating the Taylor Rule in the time-frequency domain". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/30664.
  20. Sousa, Rita; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2014. "Carbon financial markets : a time-frequency analysis of CO2 price drivers". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/27957.
  21. Sousa, Rita; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2014. "Carbon and energy prices : surfing the wavelets of California". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/30787.
  22. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. 2014. "Estimating the Taylor Rule in the time-frequency domain". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/30664.
  23. Sousa, Rita; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2014. "Carbon financial markets : a time-frequency analysis of CO2 price drivers". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/27957.
  24. Sousa, Rita; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2014. "Carbon and energy prices : surfing the wavelets of California". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/30787.
  25. Sousa, Rita; Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2014. "Dynamics of CO2 price drivers". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/27956.
  26. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Vanberg, Christoph A.. 2013. "Experimental evidence that quorum rules discourage turnout and promote election boycotts". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/24710.
  27. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Rodrigues, Teresa Maria; Soares, M. J.. 2013. "Oil shocks and the euro as an optimum currency area". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/23035.
  28. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Vanberg, Christoph A.. 2013. "Experimental evidence that quorum rules discourage turnout and promote election boycotts". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/24710.
  29. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Rodrigues, Teresa Maria; Soares, M. J.. 2013. "Oil shocks and the euro as an optimum currency area". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/23035.
  30. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Rodrigues, Teresa Maria; Soares, M. J.. 2012. "Oil shocks and the Euro as an Optimum Currency Area". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/18602.
  31. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Rodrigues, Teresa Maria; Soares, M. J.. 2012. "Oil shocks and the Euro as an Optimum Currency Area". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/18602.
  32. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2011. "The continuous wavelet transform : a primer". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/12398.
  33. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. 2011. "OPEC´s oil exporting strategy and macroeconomic (in) stability". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11993.
  34. Alexandre, Fernando; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Bação, Pedro; Portela, Miguel. 2011. "A poupança em Portugal". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/14452.
  35. Magalhães, Pedro C.; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Lewis-Beck, Michael S.. 2011. "Forecasting spanish elections". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/12646.
  36. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. 2011. "Cycles in politics : wavelet analysis of political time-series". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/12982.
  37. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. 2011. "Cycles in politics : wavelet analysis of political time-series". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/12982.
  38. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. 2011. "OPEC´s oil exporting strategy and macroeconomic (in) stability". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11993.
  39. Magalhães, Pedro C.; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Lewis-Beck, Michael S.. 2011. "Forecasting spanish elections". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/12646.
  40. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2011. "The continuous wavelet transform : a primer". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/12398.
  41. Alexandre, Fernando; Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Bação, Pedro; Portela, Miguel. 2011. "A poupança em Portugal". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/14452.
  42. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "The continuous wavelet transform : a primer". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11707.
  43. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "On waves in war and elections wavelet analysis of political time-series". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11679.
  44. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "Synchronism in electoral cycles : how united are the United States?". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11689.
  45. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Alexandre, Fernando; Pinho, Manuel Joaquim das Neves Correia de. 2010. "O euro e o crescimento da economia portuguesa : uma análise contrafactual". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11661.
  46. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11682.
  47. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "Business cycle synchronization and the euro: a wavelet analysis". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11658.
  48. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "Business cycle synchronization and the euro: a wavelet analysis". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11658.
  49. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Martins, Manuel M. F.; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11682.
  50. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "Synchronism in electoral cycles : how united are the United States?". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11689.
  51. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Alexandre, Fernando; Pinho, Manuel Joaquim das Neves Correia de. 2010. "O euro e o crescimento da economia portuguesa : uma análise contrafactual". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11661.
  52. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "The continuous wavelet transform : a primer". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11707.
  53. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.; Soares, M. J.. 2010. "On waves in war and elections wavelet analysis of political time-series". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11679.
  54. Magalhães, Pedro C.; Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2008. "Growth, centrism and semi-presidentialism : forecasting the portuguese general elections". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/8222.
  55. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.. 2008. "Referendum design, quorum rules and turnout". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/7721.
  56. Magalhães, Pedro C.; Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2008. "Growth, centrism and semi-presidentialism : forecasting the portuguese general elections". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/8222.
  57. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Magalhães, Pedro C.. 2008. "Referendum design, quorum rules and turnout". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/7721.
  58. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.; Azevedo, Nuno. 2007. "Using wavelets to decompose time-frequency economic relations". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6965.
  59. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2007. "A note on the stability properties of goodwin's predator-prey model". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6845.
  60. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. 2007. "Oil dependence and economic instability". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6104.
  61. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2007. "Using cross-wavelets to decompose the time-frequency relation between oil and the macroeconomy". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6936.
  62. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2007. "A note on the stability properties of goodwin's predator-prey model". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6845.
  63. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. 2007. "Oil dependence and economic instability". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6104.
  64. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.; Azevedo, Nuno. 2007. "Using wavelets to decompose time-frequency economic relations". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6965.
  65. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Soares, M. J.. 2007. "Using cross-wavelets to decompose the time-frequency relation between oil and the macroeconomy". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6936.
  66. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Aguiar, Sandra; Gulamhussen, Mohamed Azzim. 2006. "Foreign direct investment in Brazil and home country risk". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/5760.
  67. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Aguiar, Sandra; Gulamhussen, Mohamed Azzim. 2006. "Foreign direct investment in Brazil and home country risk". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/5760.
  68. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. 2005. "Understanding the impact of oil shocks". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1625.
  69. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. 2005. "Understanding the impact of oil shocks". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1625.
  70. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. 2004. "Foreign trade and equilibrium indeterminacy". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1309.
  71. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2004. "Public vs private schooling in an endogenous growth model". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1307.
  72. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2004. "Public vs private schooling in an endogenous growth model". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1307.
  73. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Wen, Yi. 2004. "Foreign trade and equilibrium indeterminacy". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1309.
  74. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2003. "Predicting the performance of a first year graduate student". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1305.
  75. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2003. "Predicting the performance of a first year graduate student". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1305.
  76. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2001. "The adequacy of the traditional econometric approach to nonlinear cycles". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1376.
  77. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2001. "The stability properties of goodwin's growth cycle model". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1382.
  78. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2001. "The stability properties of goodwin's growth cycle model". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1382.
  79. Conraria, Luís Aguiar. 2001. "The adequacy of the traditional econometric approach to nonlinear cycles". http://hdl.handle.net/1822/1376.
Livro
  1. Reis, Ricardo; Bação, Pedro; Correia, Isabel Horta; Ferreira, José Alberto ; Tavares, José; Valério, Nuno; Varejao, Jose. Crises na Economia Portuguesa de 1910 a 2021. Lisboa. 2023.
    Publicado
  2. ALEXANDRE, FERNANDO; Bação, Pedro; PORTELA, MIGUEL. Poupança e Financiamento da Economia Portuguesa. Lisboa. 2017.
  3. ALEXANDRE, FERNANDO; Bação, Pedro. Crise e Castigo – Os Desequilíbrios e o Resgate da Economia Portuguesa. Lisboa, Portugal. 2016.
Relatório
  1. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Alexandre, Fernando; Bação, Pedro; Cerejeira, João; Portela, Miguel. 2012. Emprego e TSU: o impacto no emprego das alterações nas contribuições dos trabalhadores e das empresas. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/20239.
  2. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Alexandre, Fernando; Bação, Pedro; Cerejeira, João; Portela, Miguel. 2012. Emprego e TSU: o impacto no emprego das alterações nas contribuições dos trabalhadores e das empresas. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/20239.
Tese / Dissertação
  1. Andrade, Marcos Gabriel Caldeira de. "Défices gémeos na Área do Euro: uma análise empírica". Mestrado, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/60985.
  2. Andrade, Marcos Gabriel Caldeira de. "Défices gémeos na Área do Euro: uma análise empírica". Mestrado, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/60985.
  3. Costa, Luís Miguel Moura. "The wind of change?: an econometric analysis of Donald Trump’s success". Mestrado, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/57027.
  4. Costa, Luís Miguel Moura. "The wind of change?: an econometric analysis of Donald Trump’s success". Mestrado, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/57027.
  5. Ivars, José Luís Figueira de Sousa Ferreira. "O impacto das determinantes económicas e sociais na percentagem de voto obtida pelos partidos populistas radicais". Mestrado, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49513.
  6. Pereira, Dirceu Rodolfo Coelho. "Financial contagion in the BRICS stock markets: an empirical analysis of the Lehman Brothers collapse and European sovereign debt crisis". Mestrado, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/46517.
  7. Noro, Windy Martins. "As mulheres no mercado de trabalho: coladas ao chão ou com teto de vidro?". Mestrado, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49510.
  8. Rodrigues, Maria Helena Cardoso. "Os determinantes das classificações de risco de crédito dos países da OCDE". Mestrado, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49791.
  9. Noro, Windy Martins. "As mulheres no mercado de trabalho: coladas ao chão ou com teto de vidro?". Mestrado, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49510.
  10. Ivars, José Luís Figueira de Sousa Ferreira. "O impacto das determinantes económicas e sociais na percentagem de voto obtida pelos partidos populistas radicais". Mestrado, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49513.
  11. Rodrigues, Maria Helena Cardoso. "Os determinantes das classificações de risco de crédito dos países da OCDE". Mestrado, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/49791.
  12. Pereira, Dirceu Rodolfo Coelho. "Financial contagion in the BRICS stock markets: an empirical analysis of the Lehman Brothers collapse and European sovereign debt crisis". Mestrado, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/46517.
  13. Costa, Hélder Alberto Silva. "Pânicos bancários: será o colateral o seguro ideal?". Mestrado, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/36218.
  14. Bento, José. "O sistema bancário e o papel do Banco Central em Timor-Leste: os riscos do Banco Central de Timor-Leste". Mestrado, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/35830.
  15. Belo, Rui Manuel Pinto. "Orçamento de Estado de Timor-Leste 2007 a 2012 : análise crítica das medidas de política orçamental de Timor-Leste". Mestrado, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/34205.
  16. Costa, Hélder Alberto Silva. "Pânicos bancários: será o colateral o seguro ideal?". Mestrado, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/36218.
  17. Belo, Rui Manuel Pinto. "Orçamento de Estado de Timor-Leste 2007 a 2012 : análise crítica das medidas de política orçamental de Timor-Leste". Mestrado, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/34205.
  18. Bento, José. "O sistema bancário e o papel do Banco Central em Timor-Leste: os riscos do Banco Central de Timor-Leste". Mestrado, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/35830.
  19. Azevedo, Diogo André Ferreira. "A evolução da Segurança Social em Portugal e o seu enquadramento internacional". Mestrado, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/30591.
  20. Vilaça, Vera Cátia Cardoso. "Notação de risco e spreads da dívida soberana : o caso português". Mestrado, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/33886.
  21. Sousa, Rita Mafalda Dionísio de. "Carbon prices. Dynamic analysis of European and Californian markets". Doutoramento, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10362/13109.
  22. Vilaça, Vera Cátia Cardoso. "Notação de risco e spreads da dívida soberana : o caso português". Mestrado, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/33886.
  23. Azevedo, Diogo André Ferreira. "A evolução da Segurança Social em Portugal e o seu enquadramento internacional". Mestrado, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/30591.
  24. Sousa, Rita Mafalda Dionísio de. "Carbon prices. Dynamic analysis of European and Californian markets". Doutoramento, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10362/13109.
  25. Gonçalves, Ana Margarida Miranda. "Relação entre taxas de juros e mercados financeiros". Mestrado, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/19799.
  26. Cruz, Vanessa Correia da. "Bank runs : suspension of convertibility and deposit insurance". Mestrado, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/22476.
  27. Cruz, Vanessa Correia da. "Bank runs : suspension of convertibility and deposit insurance". Mestrado, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/22476.
  28. Gonçalves, Ana Margarida Miranda. "Relação entre taxas de juros e mercados financeiros". Mestrado, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/19799.
  29. Pinho, Manuel Joaquim das Neves Correia de. "E se Portugal não tivesse aderido à União Económica e Monetária?". Mestrado, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/16670.
  30. Pinho, Manuel Joaquim das Neves Correia de. "E se Portugal não tivesse aderido à União Económica e Monetária?". Mestrado, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/16670.

Outros

Outra produção
  1. Emprego e TSU: o impacto no emprego das alterações nas contribuições dos trabalhadores e das empresas [Dados]. O presente conjunto de dados reporta-se ao estudo: “Emprego e TSU - O impacto no emprego das alterações nas contribuições dos trabalhadores e das empresas” (acessível em: http://hdl.handle.net/1822/20239), desenvolvido pelo Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas (NIPE).. 2012. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Alexandre, Fernando; Bação, Pedro; Cerejeira, João; Portela, Miguel. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/20251.
  2. Emprego e TSU: o impacto no emprego das alterações nas contribuições dos trabalhadores e das empresas [Dados]. O presente conjunto de dados reporta-se ao estudo: “Emprego e TSU - O impacto no emprego das alterações nas contribuições dos trabalhadores e das empresas” (acessível em: http://hdl.handle.net/1822/20239), desenvolvido pelo Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas (NIPE).. 2012. Conraria, Luís Aguiar; Alexandre, Fernando; Bação, Pedro; Cerejeira, João; Portela, Miguel. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/20251.
  3. Synchronization of the Economic Sentiment Cycles in the Euro Area: a time-frequency analysis. We use wavelet tools and Economic Sentiment Indicators to study the synchronization of economic cycles in the Euro Area. We assess the time-varying and frequency-varying pattern of business cycles synchronization in the Area and test the impact of the creation of the European Monetary Union in 1999.Among several results, we find that (a) the EMU is associated with a significant increase in synchro. 2011. Faculdade de Economia. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/71314.
  4. Synchronization of the Economic Sentiment Cycles in the Euro Area: a time-frequency analysis. We use wavelet tools and Economic Sentiment Indicators to study the synchronization of economic cycles in the Euro Area. We assess the time-varying and frequency-varying pattern of business cycles synchronization in the Area and test the impact of the creation of the European Monetary Union in 1999.Among several results, we find that (a) the EMU is associated with a significant increase in synchro. 2011. Faculdade de Economia. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/71314.
  5. The Yield Curve and the Macro-economy across Time and Frequencies. This paper assesses the relation between the yield curve and the main macroeconomic variables in the U.S. between early 1960s and 2009 across time and frequencies, using wavelet analyses. The shape of the yield curve is modelled by latent factors corresponding to its level, slope and curvature, estimated by maximum likelihood with the Kalman filter.The macroeconomic variables measure economic acti. 2010. Faculdade de Economia. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/71284.
  6. The Yield Curve and the Macro-economy across Time and Frequencies. This paper assesses the relation between the yield curve and the main macroeconomic variables in the U.S. between early 1960s and 2009 across time and frequencies, using wavelet analyses. The shape of the yield curve is modelled by latent factors corresponding to its level, slope and curvature, estimated by maximum likelihood with the Kalman filter.The macroeconomic variables measure economic acti. 2010. Faculdade de Economia. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/71284.
Atividades

Membro de associação

Nome da associação Tipo de participação
Atual European Economic Association
Atual European Political Science Association
Distinções

Prémio

2013 Best Researcher of the School of Business and Economics of the University of Minho
Universidade do Minho Escola de Economia e Gestão, Portugal

Outra distinção

2011 Gulbenkian Prize for the Internationalization of Social Sciences
Gulbenkian, Portugal
2010 Best Researcher of the School of Business and Economics of the University of Minho
School of Business and Economics of the University of Minho, Portugal