???global.info.a_carregar???
João B. Duarte is Associate Professor of Economics at Nova School of Business and Economics (Nova SBE). He holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (2016). His research focuses on the macroeconomics of housing, monetary policy transmission, and building data infrastructure for frontier empirical research. He has published in the Journal of the European Economic Association, the Journal of Applied Econometrics, and the European Economic Review, with papers currently under Revise and Resubmit at the Journal of Political Economy, the Review of Economic Studies (2nd round), and the Journal of International Economics (2nd round). His work has been cited in the IMF World Economic Outlook, by the Federal Reserve Banks of Philadelphia (President Harker, 2023 speech) and Richmond (Macro Minute, 2024), by ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane (2023 speech), in two ECB Economic Bulletin boxes, in the BIS Bulletin and Quarterly Review, and covered in The Economist (December 2024). He has authored publications for the Federal Reserve Board (3 IFDPs + 1 FEDS Note), the ECB (WP 3165), the IMF (WP/20/108), and the Banco de Portugal. In 2024, he was awarded the ECB Lamfalussy Research Fellowship. He has supervised three PhD students to completion — placed at the Bank of England, the ECB, and Rotterdam School of Management (tenure-track) — and currently supervises four additional doctoral students at Nova SBE. He is also engaged in applied economic research with societal impact in Portugal, including the PAT 2030 Development and Territorial Cohesion report commissioned by the Portuguese government, studies on venture capital, EU structural funds, corporate taxation, and housing for Investors Portugal and the Fundação Francisco Manuel dos Santos, and sector impact assessments across multiple Portuguese industries. He has presented research at the Portuguese Parliament and participates regularly in parliamentary hearings on housing and fiscal policy, with wide media coverage in Portuguese outlets.
Identificação

Identificação pessoal

Nome completo
Joao Bernardo Duarte

Nomes de citação

  • Duarte, Joao B.
  • Joao Duarte
  • Joao Bernardo Duarte

Identificadores de autor

Ciência ID
2C10-4B48-D445
ORCID iD
0000-0002-8860-783X
Google Scholar ID
0V7l-SgAAAAJ&hl

Domínios de atuação

  • Ciências Sociais - Economia e Gestão - Economia
  • Ciências Sociais - Economia e Gestão - Economia
  • Ciências Sociais - Economia e Gestão - Economia
  • Ciências Sociais - Economia e Gestão - Economia
  • Ciências Sociais - Economia e Gestão - Econometria
  • Ciências Sociais - Economia e Gestão - Econometria
  • Ciências Sociais - Economia e Gestão - Economia

Idiomas

Idioma Conversação Leitura Escrita Compreensão Peer-review
Português Utilizador proficiente (C2) Utilizador proficiente (C2) Utilizador proficiente (C2) Utilizador proficiente (C2)
Inglês Utilizador proficiente (C2) Utilizador proficiente (C2) Utilizador proficiente (C2) Utilizador proficiente (C2)
Francês Utilizador elementar (A1) Utilizador independente (B1) Utilizador elementar (A1) Utilizador elementar (A1)
Espanhol; Castelhano Utilizador elementar (A1) Utilizador independente (B1) Utilizador elementar (A1) Utilizador elementar (A1)
Formação
Grau Classificação
2016
Concluído
Economics (Doctor of Philosophy)
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Estados Unidos
"Essays in Macroeconomics and Housing" (TESE/DISSERTAÇÃO)
n/a
2010
Concluído
Economia (Licenciatura)
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Brasil
"O efeito de politica monetária no spread bancário no Brasil" (TESE/DISSERTAÇÃO)
n/a
Percurso profissional

Ciência

Categoria Profissional
Instituição de acolhimento
Empregador
2016/08 - 2017/08 Pós-doutorado (Investigação) University of Cambridge, Reino Unido
University of Cambridge, Reino Unido

Docência no Ensino Superior

Categoria Profissional
Instituição de acolhimento
Empregador
2024/07/01 - Atual Professor Associado (Docente Universitário) NOVA University Lisbon NOVA SBE Venture Lab, Portugal
NOVA University Lisbon NOVA SBE Venture Lab, Portugal
2017/09/01 - 2024/06/30 Professor Auxiliar (Docente Universitário) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Unidade de Investigação Nova SBE, Portugal
Projetos

Bolsa

Designação Financiadores
2024/01/01 - 2026/06/01 The Mortgage Piggy Bank, Household Saving and Wealth Inequality
SR23-00087
Investigador responsável
Universidade Nova de Lisboa NOVA School of Business and Economics, Portugal
Obra Social La Caixa
Em curso
2023/01/31 - 2024/07/31 Monetary Policy, Inflation, Housing and Inequality
2022.07354.PTDC
Co-Investigador Responsável (Co-IR)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Em curso
2021/02/01 - 2024/01/31 Structural transfomation, Inequality and the Macroeconomy
PTDC/EGE-ECO/7620/2020
Co-Investigador Responsável (Co-IR)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Portugal

Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Em curso
2016/11 - 2017/05 Monetary Policy, Housing and Consumption in the Euro Area
Investigador responsável
University of Cambridge Faculty of Economics, Reino Unido
Keynes Fund
Concluído

Projeto

Designação Financiadores
2016 - 2018 ADEMU (A Dynamic Economic and Monetary Union)
Bolseiro de Pós-Doutoramento
University of Cambridge Faculty of Economics, Reino Unido
European Comission
Concluído

Outro

Designação Financiadores
2018/06 - 2019/08 Automation and the Future of Jobs in Portugal
CIP
Investigador responsável
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal

Confederação da Indústria Portuguesa, Portugal
Em curso
Produções

Publicações

Artigo em boletim informativo
  1. Duarte, Joao B.. "POLICY BRIEF: One money, many markets", ADEMU project Policy Briefs, 2018, https://ademu-project.eu/policy-brief-one-money-many-markets/.
Artigo em revista
  1. Joao B. Duarte; Nuno Pereira. "The effect of monetary policy on household consumption expenditures in Portugal: A decomposition of the transmission channel". Portuguese Economic Journal (2022): http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10258-022-00214-1.
    10.1007/s10258-022-00214-1
  2. Brinca, Pedro; Duarte, Joao B.; Faria-e-Castro, Miguel. "Measuring labor supply and demand shocks during COVID-19". European Economic Review (2021): 103901. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103901.
    No prelo • 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103901
  3. Corsetti, Giancarlo; Duarte, Joao B; Mann, Samuel. "One Money, Many Markets". Journal of the European Economic Association (2021): http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jeea/jvab030.
    Aceite para publicação • 10.1093/jeea/jvab030
  4. Dias, Daniel A.; Duarte, João B.. "Monetary policy, housing rents, and inflation dynamics". Journal of Applied Econometrics (2019): http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jae.2679.
    Aceite para publicação • 10.1002/jae.2679
  5. Buiatti, Cesare; Saenz, Felipe. "Why Is Europe Falling Behind? Structural Transformation and Services' Productivity Differences between Europe and the U.S.". SSRN Electronic Journal (2017): http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2942730.
    10.2139/ssrn.2942730
  6. Dias, Daniel A.; Duarte, João B.. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on Housing Tenure Choice as an Explanation for the Price Puzzle". International Finance Discussion Paper 2016 1171 (2016): 1-27. http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/ifdp.2016.1171.
    Publicado • 10.17016/ifdp.2016.1171
  7. Baer, W.; Dias, D.A.; Duarte, J.B.. "The economy of Portugal and the European Union: From high growth prospects to the debt crisis". Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 53 4 (2013): 345-352. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84888295932&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1016/j.qref.2012.06.002
Documento de trabalho
  1. Duarte, Joao B.. 2026. "Europe Falling Behind: Structural Transformation and Labor Productivity Growth Differences Between Europe and the U.S.".
  2. Duarte, Joao B.; Corsetti, Giancarlo; Buda, Gergely; Hansen, Stephen; Ortiz, Alvaro; Rodríguez Mora, José V. ; Rodrigo, Tomasa; et al. 2025. "The Short Lags of Monetary Policy". https://cadmus.eui.eu/bitstream/handle/1814/75403/RSC_WP_2023_22.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y.
  3. Duarte, Joao B.; Brinca, Pedro; Oliveira, Joao; Hans, Holter. 2025. "Technological Change and Earnings Inequality in the U.S.: Implications for Optimal Taxation". https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/91463/.
  4. Duarte, Joao B.. 2025. "Financial Integration and the Transmission of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area". https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp3165~0b3b657c29.en.pdf.
  5. Duarte, Joao B.. 2025. "The Real and Financial Effects of Local Corporate Tax Increases: Evidence from Linked Firm-Bank Data".
  6. Duarte, Joao B.; Dias, Daniel A.. 2022. "Monetary Policy and Homeownership: Empirical Evidence, Theory, and Policy Implications". https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/files/ifdp1344.pdf.
  7. Duarte, Joao B.; Corsetti, Giancarlo. 2018. "One Money, Many Markets". http://www.centreformacroeconomics.ac.uk/Discussion-Papers/2018/CFMDP2018-05-Paper.pdf.
  8. Duarte, João B.; Dias, Daniel A.. 2015. "Housing and Monetary Policy in the Business Cycle: What do Housing Rents have to Say?". https://ideas.repec.org/p/jmp/jm2015/pdu385.html.
Atividades

Apresentação oral de trabalho

Título da apresentação Nome do evento
Anfitrião (Local do evento)
2025/06 The Short Lags of Monetary Policy NBER Summer Institute
NBER (Boston, Estados Unidos)
2023 Monetary Policy and Homeownership
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (New York, Estados Unidos)
2020 Measuring Labor Supply and Demand Shocks during COVID-19
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) (Estados Unidos)

Orientação

Título / Tema
Papel desempenhado
Curso (Tipo)
Instituição / Organização
2021/09 - Atual Essays on Monetary Policy, Productivity and Financial Integration
Orientador
Economics (Doutoramento)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2019/09 - Atual Essays on Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy
Orientador
Economics (Doutoramento)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/09 - Atual Essays in Macroeconomics, Household Finance and Public Finance
Coorientador
Economics (Doutoramento)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/01 - 2022/06 Essays on Structural Change and Inequality
Coorientador de Joao Barata Oliveira
Economics (Doutoramento)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal

Organização de evento

Nome do evento
Tipo de evento (Tipo de participação)
Instituição / Organização
2025 - Atual Portuguese Economic Journal Annual Meeting (2025)
Conferência (Membro da Comissão Organizadora)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa NOVA School of Business and Economics, Portugal

Participação em evento

Descrição da atividade
Tipo de evento
Nome do evento
Instituição / Organização
2022 - Atual Portuguese Economic Journal (PEJ) Annual Meeting
Conferência
Portuguese Economic Journal (PEJ) Annual Meeting
2022 - Atual Singapore Economic Review Conference
Conferência
Singapore Economic Review Conference
2019 - Atual EEA|ESEM annual meeting
Conferência
EEA|ESEM annual meeting
2017 - 2026 LuBraMacro
Oficina (workshop)
LuBraMacro
2018/11 - 2018/11 Presentation.
Oficina (workshop)
Bank of Italy Workshop "Assessing the performance of the Italian economy"
Banca d'Italia, Itália
2018/08 - 2018/08 Presentation.
Conferência
7th Meeting LuBraMacro
2018/07 - 2018/07 Presentation.
Conferência
12th Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal
Universidade de Lisboa Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Portugal
2018/05 - 2018/05 Presentation.
Conferência
ADEMU closing conference
European University Institute, Itália
2015 - 2015 Presentation.
Congresso
World Congress of the Econometric Society
Université de Montréal, Canadá

Júri de grau académico

Tema
Tipo de participação
Nome do candidato (Tipo de grau)
Instituição / Organização
2025 Phd Afonso Moura
Orientador
Afonso Moura (Doutoramento)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa NOVA School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2021 PhD Joao Oliveira
Orientador
Joao Oliveira (Doutoramento)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa NOVA School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2019/01 The dynamics of Sovereign Debt in the Eurozone: A Panel VAR Analysis
Orientador
Vanessa Barbara Schmidt (Mestrado)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2019/01 A Global VAR Model for the Eurozone: Impacts of Fiscal Policy to Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound
Orientador
Davi Ferreira (Mestrado)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2019/01 The Impact of ECB’s Large Scale Asset Purchases: A Proxy SVAR Approach
Orientador
Rui Sousa (Mestrado)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/06 Tourism In Portugal: Dynamics, Persistence & Impact
Orientador
Joao Marinho (Mestrado)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/01 Monetary Policy Shocks and Volatility through different Asset Classes
Orientador
Joao Duque (Mestrado)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/01 The Impact of Monetary Policy, and Its Surprises, on Banks' Risk-Taking
Orientador
Joao Miguel Bravo Gaudencio (Mestrado)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal

Arbitragem científica em conferência

Nome da conferência Local da conferência
2022/08 - 2022/12 44th Meeting of the Brazilian Econometric Society Brazilian Econometric Society
2022/03 - 2022/07 15th Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal Faculty for Agricultural and Environmental Sciences of the University of Azores

Comissão de avaliação

Descrição da atividade
Tipo de assessoria
Instituição / Organização Entidade financiadora
2024 - 2024 Reviewer for Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica
Avaliador
Academia Sinica, Taiwan

Consultoria / Parecer

Descrição da atividade Instituição / Organização
2018 - 2019 Automation and the future of jobs in Portugal. We study the effects of automation in the Portuguese job market. In particular we estimate how many jobs will be lost, and how many will be gained, by sector and occupation. Finally, we also estimate how many workers will need to re-qualify or upgrade their skills. The preliminary outcome had a great reach to the general public, being published by 27 newspapers platforms. Confederação da Indústria Portuguesa, Portugal

Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal

Curso / Disciplina lecionado

Disciplina Curso (Tipo) Instituição / Organização
2018/09 - 2018/12 Macroeconomics Economia (Licenciatura) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/08 - 2018/08 Intro to Programming Gestão (Mestrado integrado) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/06 - 2018/06 Computational Economics in Python Economics (Master) The University of Edinburgh School of Economics, Reino Unido
2018/02 - 2018/05 Macroeconometrics Economia (Mestrado integrado) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/02 - 2018/05 Macroeconomics Economia (Licenciatura) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2018/03 - 2018/03 Computational Economics in Python Economics (Doctor of Philosophy) University of Cambridge Faculty of Economics, Reino Unido
2017/09 - 2017/12 Macroeconomics Economia (Licenciatura) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2017/02 - 2017/05 Macroeconometrics Economia (Mestrado integrado) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
2016/09 - 2016/10 Economic Growth Economics (Bachelor) University of Cambridge Faculty of Economics, Reino Unido

Entrevista (jornal / revista)

Descrição da atividade Jornal / Forum
2019/02/05 Interview with Expresso on how much it will cost to re-qualify the Portuguese workforce that will lose jobs to automation. Expresso

Revisão ad hoc de artigos em revista

Nome da revista (ISSN) Editora
2022 - Atual Journal of Applied Econometrics
2020 - Atual European Economic Review
2020 - Atual Journal of International Economics
2020 - Atual Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
2020 - Atual Journal of Monetary Economics
2020 - Atual Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
2020 - Atual Review of Economic Dynamics
2020 - Atual Economic Journal
2020 - Atual International Journal of Central Banking
2020 - Atual The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics
2020 - Atual Portuguese Economic Journal
Distinções

Prémio

2024 Lamfalussy Fellowship
European Central Bank, Alemanha
2015 Departmental Thesis Completion Award
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Estados Unidos
2014 Paul W. Boltz fellowship
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Estados Unidos
2014 Robert E. Demarest Teaching Award
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Estados Unidos
2013 Paul W. Boltz fellowship
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Estados Unidos
2010 Laureate in Economics
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Brasil