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É Investigador na Universidade de Lisboa Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão. Atua na(s) área(s) de Ciências Sociais com ênfase em Economia e Gestão com ênfase em Política Macroeconómica, Macrodinâmica e Economia Portuguesa.
Identification

Personal identification

Full name
Hugo Miguel Fernandes Morão
Gender
Male

Citation names

  • Morão, Hugo
  • Morao, Hugo

Author identifiers

Ciência ID
8912-D535-D88C
ORCID iD
0000-0002-6601-3061
Google Scholar ID
UYn8XfoAAAAJ
Scopus Author Id
57214796688

Email addresses

  • hmorao@phd.iseg.ulisboa.pt (Professional)

Websites

Knowledge fields

  • Social Sciences - Economics and Business
  • Social Sciences - Economics and Business - Economics
  • Social Sciences - Economics and Business - Business and Management
  • Social Sciences - Economic and Social Geography - Environmental Sciences
  • Engineering and Technology - Environmental Engineering - Petroleum Engineering, Energy and Fuels
  • Engineering and Technology - Environmental Engineering - Mining and Mineral Processing

Languages

Language Speaking Reading Writing Listening Peer-review
Portuguese (Mother tongue)
English Upper intermediate (B2) Upper intermediate (B2) Advanced (C1) Upper intermediate (B2) Upper intermediate (B2)
Spanish; Castilian Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1)
Outputs

Publications

Book chapter
  1. Morão, Hugo. "VAT evaluation of Differentiated rates: A Structural VAR Approach". 2026.
    Under revision
  2. Morão, Hugo. "Exemption from Municipal Property Tax for Low-Income Taxpayers on Low-Value Building". 2026.
    Under revision
  3. Morão, Hugo. "Exemption from Municipal Tax on Onerous Real Estate Transfers for the Acquisition of Properties Intended for Resale". Portugal, 2026.
    Under revision
  4. Morão, Hugo. "CIT Exemption for Public Legal Entities of the Associative Type". 2026.
    Under revision
Book review
  1. Morão, Hugo. "Critical minerals and the future of the U.S. economy, 2025". (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105662.
    10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105662
Dictionary entry
  1. Morão, Hugo. "+350 entries". In Dicionário de Termos Tributários Portugueses, 2025. https://github.com/hmorao95/dicionario_tributario.
    Under revision
Encyclopedia entry
  1. Morão, Hugo. "Energy Transportation Uncertainty". In Encyclopedia, 2025. https://encyclopedia.pub/entry/58854.
Journal article
  1. Morão, Hugo. "The macroeconomic effects of climate policy uncertainty: Evidence from Portugal". The Journal of Economic Asymmetries (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2025.e00426.
    10.1016/j.jeca.2025.e00426
  2. Morão, Hugo. "Fighting inflation through VAT reductions". Food Policy (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.102912.
    10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.102912
  3. Morão, Hugo. "Uncertainty in climate policy and energy industry". Energy (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2025.136013.
    10.1016/j.energy.2025.136013
  4. Morão, Hugo. "The economic effects of tensions in energy transportation". Research in Transportation Economics (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101598.
    10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101598
  5. Morão, Hugo. "The economic consequences of fertilizer supply shocks". Food Policy (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.102835.
    10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.102835
  6. Morão, Hugo. "Fuel price surges and rising inflation expectations in the Euro Area". International Economics (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100576.
    10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100576
  7. Morão, Hugo. "From carbon policy to consumer prices: The economic impact of carbon caps in the Euro Area". Energy Economics (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108175.
    10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108175
  8. Afonso, António; Morão, Hugo. "Commonalities and heterogeneity in the Iberian business cycle". The Journal of Economic Asymmetries (2024): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2024.e00375.
    10.1016/j.jeca.2024.e00375
  9. Morão, Hugo. "An economic policy uncertainty index for Portugal". International Economics (2024): http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100481.
    10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100481
  10. Morão, Hugo. "The impact of carbon policy news on the national energy industry". Energy Economics (2024): http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107596.
    10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107596
  11. Neves Sequeira, Tiago; Morão, Hugo. "Growth accounting and regressions: New approach and results". International Economics 162 (2020): 67-79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2020.01.003.
    10.1016/j.inteco.2020.01.003
Newsletter article
  1. Morão, Hugo. "When Fertilizer Markets Move Food Systems", 2025
Report
  1. Morão, Hugo. 2025. Assessment Report on Tax Expenditure in Portugal. https://info.portaldasfinancas.gov.pt/pt/dgci/divulgacao/Area_Beneficios_Fiscais/Assessment_Report_Tax_Expenditure_Portugal/Documents/U_TAX_Assessment_Report_Tax_Expenditure_Portugal.pdf.
Thesis / Dissertation
  1. "Growth Accounting and Regressions: A New Methodological Approach to Capital and Technology". Master, Universidade da Beira Interior, 2018.

Other

Dataset
  1. Morão, Hugo. Narrative VAT tax changes for Portugal. 2026.
  2. Morão, Hugo. Rare-earth supply index. 2026.
  3. Morão, Hugo. Narrative Fuel tax changes for Portugal. 2026.
  4. Morão, Hugo. Energy Transportation Uncertainty (ETU) index. https://github.com/hmorao95/etu_world. 2025.
  5. Morão, Hugo. Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) index for Portugal. 2025.
  6. Morão, Hugo. Fertilizer supply index. 2025.
  7. Morão, Hugo. Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index for Portugal. https://github.com/hmorao95/epu_pt. 2024.
Activities

Oral presentation

Presentation title Event name
Host (Event location)
2025/07 The macroeconomic effects of VAT base changes: Evidence from Portugal 13th UECE conference
ISEG (Lisboa, Portugal)
2025/04 Reduced rate VAT evaluation UTAX
Ministry of Finance (Lisbon, Portugal)
2024/07 The economic effects of tensions in energy transportation 12th UECE conference
ISEG (Lisboa, Portugal)
2023/07 An economic policy uncertainty index for Portugal 11th UECE conference
ISEG (Lisboa, Portugal)
2018/07 Growth Accounting and Regressions XXXII Reunión Asepelt
U Huelva (Huelva, Spain)

Event participation

Activity description
Type of event 		Event name
Institution / Organization
2024/12 - 2024/12 Presentations on VAT
Workshop
 UTAX Workshop
Autoridade Tributária, Portugal
2024/10 - 2024/10 Debate on VAT case studies
Workshop
 Congresso do IVA 2024
Universidade Católica Portuguesa Faculdade de Direito, Portugal
2019/06 - 2019/06 Understanding and Evaluating Inflation-Targeting Central Banks Presented by Douglas Laxton
Workshop
 Lisbon Doctoral Summer School
Universidade de Lisboa Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Portugal

Ad Hoc journal article review

Journal title (ISSN) Publisher
2025/07 - Current Economic Analysis and Policy (0313-5926) Elsevier
2025/07 - Current Applied Economics (1466-4283) Taylor & Francis
2025/06 - Current Ecological Economics (0921-8009) Elsevier
2025/06 - Current Energy Economics (0140-9883) Elsevier
2025/09 - 2025/09 Review of Development Economics (1467-9361) Wiley
2025/08 - 2025/09 Energies (1996-1073) MDPI
2025/08 - 2025/08 Quality & Quantity (00335177) Springer
2025/06 - 2025/08 Sustainability (2071-1050) MDPI
2025/07 - 2025/07 Risks (2227-9091) MDPI
2025/05 - 2025/05 Environmental and Resource Economics (924-6460) Springer
2025/03 - 2025/03 Applied Economics Letters (1350-4851) Taylor & Francis

Association member

Society Organization name Role
2023/01 - Current The International Association for Energy Economics Member

Consulting

Activity description Institution / Organization
2025/08 - 2025/09 Technical analysis on Artigo 46.º do Estatuto dos Benefícios Fiscais Autoridade Tributária, Portugal
2024/10 - 2024/10 Technical analysis on Proposta de Lei nº10/XVI/1ª Autoridade Tributária, Portugal

Interview (newspaper / magazine)

Activity description Newspaper / Forum
2023/06 Post-Covid inflation Jornal de Belmonte
2021/04 Winner of Portugal's Global Management Challenge Expresso

Legal proceeding

Activity description Case
2025/03 - 2025/03 Estimation of Related Fiscal Expenditure Non-compliance with the Application of the Reduced VAT Rate on Baby Diapers in Portugal
Distinctions

Award

2021 1st place in the National Final of the 42nd edition of the Global Management Challenge
Simuladores e Modelos de Gestão (SDG), Portugal
2020 3rd place in the National Final of the 40th edition of the Global Management Challenge
Simuladores e Modelos de Gestão (SDG), Portugal
2019 Best Student Award
Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior, Portugal
2019 Merit Recognition (Master's degree)
Universidade da Beira Interior, Portugal
2018 Best Student Scholarship
Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior, Portugal
2015 Merit Recognition (Bachelor's degree)
Universidade da Beira Interior, Portugal
2015 1-year Scholarship (Master's degree)
Universidade da Beira Interior, Portugal