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Luís Miguel Clemente Casinhas is an Assistant Professor at the Department of Economics of ISCTE - Instituto Universitário de Lisboa and an Integrated Researcher at BRU-IUL. He holds a BSc in Management from Nova School of Business and Economics and completed his MSc and PhD in Economics at ISCTE-IUL as a recipient of a competitive doctoral fellowship from the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT). He began his academic career in 2019 at ISCTE-IUL, teaching in both the Departments of Economics and Political Economy. He has also taught at Universidade Autónoma de Lisboa and at ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, and was part of the teaching team that developed the Executive Education Short Program in Financial Markets at AESE Business School. His research focuses on inequality, housing markets, and public policy evaluation, combining large-scale microdata with advanced econometric and machine learning methods. He has published in leading Q1 international journals, including Review of Income and Wealth, Social Indicators Research, British Journal of Sociology, and Real Estate Economics, and is a member of the World Elite Database (WED). His research has contributed to national public debate, received coverage in major Portuguese and international media outlets, and informed expert opinions submitted to the Portuguese Parliament.
Identification

Personal identification

Full name
Luís Miguel Clemente Casinhas
Date of birth
1996/12/19
Gender
Male

Citation names

  • Clemente-Casinhas, L.

Author identifiers

Ciência ID
871A-E111-4D4B
ORCID iD
0000-0002-2809-4999
Google Scholar ID
u0pPfxUAAAAJ
Researcher Id
MHR-5098-2025
Scopus Author Id
59309064600

Email addresses

  • luis_miguel_casinhas@iscte-iul.pt (Professional)
  • luis_miguel_casinhas@iscte-iul.pt (Personal)

Websites

Knowledge fields

  • Social Sciences - Economics and Business - Economics

Languages

Language Speaking Reading Writing Listening Peer-review
Portuguese (Mother tongue)
English Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1)
Spanish; Castilian Intermediate (B1) Intermediate (B1) Intermediate (B1) Intermediate (B1)
Education
Degree Classification
2019/09/09 - 2023/12/04
Concluded
Economics (Doutoramento)
ISCTE - Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
"Essays on Intergenerational Mobility in Income and Education" (THESIS/DISSERTATION)
Unanimously Approved with Distinction
2017/09/01 - 2019/10/31
Concluded
Economics (Mestrado)
ISCTE - Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
"Central Bank Independence and Economic Growth" (THESIS/DISSERTATION)
18
2014/09 - 2017/07/26
Concluded
Management (Licenciatura)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
"n/a" (THESIS/DISSERTATION)
14
Affiliation

Science

Category
Host institution
Employer
2024 - Current Researcher (Research) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
Business Research Unit (BRU-IUL), Portugal
2019/09 - 2023 Research Assistant (Research) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
Business Research Unit (BRU-IUL), Portugal

Teaching in Higher Education

Category
Host institution
Employer
2025/09 - Current Assistant Professor (University Teacher) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
ISCTE Business School, Portugal
2024 - 2025/08 Invited Assistant Professor (University Teacher) Universidade Autónoma de Lisboa, Portugal
2023/12 - 2025/08 Invited Assistant Professor (University Teacher) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
ISCTE Business School, Portugal
2024/02 - 2024/08 Invited Assistant Professor (University Teacher) ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Portugal
2019/09 - 2023/12 Invited Assistant (University Teacher) ISCTE Business School, Portugal
ISCTE Business School Departamento de Economia, Portugal

Others

Category
Host institution
Employer
2018/09/03 - 2019/02/28 Monitor: surveillance and grading of exams for the Microeconomics II Course of the BSc in Economics; academic support to tasks related to the management duties of the MSc in Economics program. ISCTE Business School, Portugal
ISCTE Business School Departamento de Economia, Portugal
2018/06/06 - 2018/08/31 Performance Reporting Assistant: writing monthly and quarterly reports to monitor Investment Funds' Performance from European Countries; process mapping (Lean Strategy) to improve efficiency. Mercer, Marsh & McLennan, Portugal
Projects

Grant

Designation Funders
2020/12/01 - 2023/11/30 Essays on Intergenerational Mobility, Inequality, Income Distribution and Education
2020.04449.BD
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
Outputs

Publications

Journal article
  1. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Vale, S.. "Exemption or illusion? The impact of a youth tax policy on house asking prices in Portugal". Real Estate Economics N/A (9999): https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/15406229.
    Published • 10.1111/1540-6229.70020
  2. Bühlmann, F.; Christesen, C. A.; Cousin, B.; Denord, F.; Ellersgaard, C. H.; Lagneau-Ymonet, P.; Larsen, A. G.; et al. "Varieties of economic elites? Preliminary results from the World Elite Database (WED)". British Journal of Sociology 76 3 (2025): 663-673. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/14684446.
    Published • 10.1111/1468-4446.13203
  3. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Martins, L. F.; Ferreira-Lopes, A.. "Using survey data to estimate intergenerational mobility in income and education in Portugal". Social Indicators Research 176 1 (2025): 51-106. https://link.springer.com/journal/11205.
    Published • 10.1007/s11205-024-03437-1
  4. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Ferreira-Lopes, A.; Martins, L. F.. "Using machine learning to unveil the predictors of intergenerational mobility". Review of Income and Wealth 71 1 (2024): https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/14754991.
    Published • 10.1111/roiw.12710
  5. Martins, L. F.; Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Ferreira-Lopes, A.. "Uncovering the (possible) relationship between Central Bank Independence and economic growth in the context of monetary unions". CESifo Economic Studies 70 4 (2024): 443-473. https://academic.oup.com/cesifo.
    Published • 10.1093/cesifo/ifae012
Report
  1. Botelho, M.C.; Nunes, N.; Chainho-Pereira, J.; Vasconcelos, Pedro; Pires, R. P.; Vale, S.; Clemente-Casinhas, L.; et al. 2025. World Elite Database (WED) Methodological Report: Construction of the Economic Elite Population for Portugal. (Version 2025.1.). https://worldelitedatabase.org/methodology/.
  2. Botelho, M.C.; Nunes, N.; Chainho-Pereira, J.; Vasconcelos, Pedro; Pires, R. P.; Vale, S.; Clemente-Casinhas, L.; et al. 2024. World Elite Database (WED) Methodological Report: Construction of the Economic Elite Population for Portugal. (Version 2024.1.). https://worldelitedatabase.org/methodology/.
Thesis / Dissertation
  1. Clemente-Casinhas, L.. "Essays on Intergenerational Mobility in Income and Education". PhD, 2023. http://hdl.handle.net/10071/30287.
  2. Clemente-Casinhas, L.. "Central Bank Independence and Economic Growth". Master, 2019. https://repositorio.iscte-iul.pt/handle/10071/18974.

Other

Other output
  1. Exemption or Illusion? The Impact of a Youth Tax Policy on House Asking Prices in Portugal. 31st International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance (CEF). 2025. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Vale, S.. https://comp-econ.com/31st-conference/.
  2. Unconventional Fiscal Policies in Response to Inflation: The Iberian Exception in Portugal. 18th Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal. 2025. Cerdeira, L.; Vale, S.; Clemente-Casinhas, L.. https://pej2025.com/.
  3. Assessing the Impact of Youth Tax Exemptions on Housing Prices: Evidence from Portugal. 50th Eurasia Business and Economics Society (EBES) Conference. 2025. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Vale, S.. https://ebesweb.org/50th-ebes-conference-lisbon/50th-ebes-conference-lisbon/.
  4. Exemption or Illusion? The Impact of a Youth Tax Policy on House Asking Prices in Portugal. 46th Meeting of the Association for Southern European Economic Theorists (ASSET). 2025. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Vale, S.. https://airess.fgses-um6p.ma/asset2025.
  5. Unconventional Fiscal Policies in Response to Inflation: The Iberian Exception in Portugal. 46th Meeting of the Association for Southern European Economic Theorists (ASSET). 2025. Lourenço Cerdeira; Vale, Sofia; Clemente-Casinhas, L.. https://airess.fgses-um6p.ma/asset2025.
  6. Using Machine Learning to Unveil the Determinants of Intergenerational Mobility. 44th Meeting of the Association for Southern European Economic Theorists (ASSET). 2023. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Ferreira-Lopes, A.; Martins, L.F.. https://www.clsbe.lisboa.ucp.pt/asset-2023.
  7. From Rags to Riches? Using Survey Data to Estimate Intergenerational Mobility in Portugal. 16th Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal. 2023. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Martins, L.F.; Ferreira-Lopes, A.. https://pej2023.com/.
  8. From Rags to Riches? Using Survey Data to Estimate Intergenerational Mobility in Portugal. 29th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance (CEF). 2023. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Martins, L.F.; Ferreira-Lopes, A.. https://comp-econ.com/29th-conference/.
  9. From Rags to Riches? Using Survey Data to Estimate Intergenerational Mobility in Portugal. BRU-IUL Research Seminar. 2023. Clemente-Casinhas, L.; Martins, L.F.; Ferreira-Lopes, A.. https://bru.iscte-iul.pt/event/research-seminar-bru-iscte-luis-miguel-clemente-casinhas/.
Activities

Oral presentation

Presentation title Event name
Host (Event location)
2025/11/01 Unconventional Fiscal Policies in Response to Inflation: The Iberian Exception in Portugal 46th Meeting of the Association for Southern European Economic Theorists
University Mohammed VI Polytechnic (Rabat, Morocco)
2025/11/01 Exemption or Illusion? The Impact of a Youth Tax Policy on House Asking Prices in Portugal 46th Meeting of the Association for Southern European Economic Theorists
University Mohammed VI Polytechnic (Rabat, Morocco)
2025/07/09 Exemption or Illusion? The Impact of a Youth Tax Policy on House Asking Prices in Portugal 31st International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
University of Chile (Santiago, Chile)
2025/07/04 Unconventional Fiscal Policies in Response to Inflation: The Iberian Exception in Portugal 18th Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal
Universidade Nova de Lisboa (Cascais, Portugal)
2025/01/08 Assessing the Impact of Youth Tax Exemptions on Housing Prices: Evidence from Portugal 50th Eurasia Business and Economics Society (EBES) Conference
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (Lisbon, Portugal)
2023/10/21 Using Machine Learning to Unveil the Determinants of Intergenerational Mobility 44th Meeting Association of Southern European Economic Theorists
Católica Lisbon School of Business & Economics (Lisbon, Portugal)
2023/07/07 From Rags to Riches? Using Survey Data to Estimate Intergenerational Mobility in Income and Education in Portugal 16th Meeting of The Portuguese Economic Journal
Universidade do Minho (Braga, Portugal)
2023/07/03 From Rags to Riches? Using Survey Data to Estimate Intergenerational Mobility in Income and Education in Portugal 29th International Conference Computing in Economics and Finance
Université Côte d’Azur (Nice, France)
2023/03/31 From Rags to Riches? Using Survey Data to Estimate Intergenerational Mobility in Income and Education in Portugal Business Research Unit Research Seminar
BRU-IUL (Lisbon, Portugal)

Supervision

Thesis Title
Role
Degree Subject (Type)
Institution / Organization
2026/02/19 - Current Habitação e desigualdades das famílias portuguesas: análise do Inquérito à Situação Financeira das Famílias
Supervisor of Catarina Patrício Marcelino Lopes
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025/11/25 - Current The Economic Impact of Hosting the FIFA World Cup
Supervisor of David Oliveira Santos
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025/11/20 - Current Centralização dos direitos transmissão televisiva
Co-supervisor of Guilherme Ribeiro Lourenço Santos
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025/09/26 - Current Rent Regulation
Supervisor of Gonçalo Alves Rodrigues
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal

Event participation

Activity description
Type of event
Event name
Institution / Organization
2025/06/09 - 2025/06/09 Explorar como a IA está a transformar o mundo do trabalho, focando nos benefícios, riscos e nas adaptações permitidas para trabalhadores e empresas.
Round table
Inteligência Artificial e o Futuro do Trabalho: Impactos, Desafios e Oportunidades
Universidade Autónoma de Lisboa, Portugal

Jury of academic degree

Topic
Role
Candidate name (Type of degree)
Institution / Organization
2025 A relação entre o desenvolvimento financeiro e a degradação ambiental em Portugal: uma análise quantitativa
(Thesis) Main arguer
Miguel Eduardo Catarino Capitão (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025 Investment dynamics and its contribution to a differentiated regional growth (1995-2022): the case of Portugal
(Thesis) Main arguer
Joana Catarina da Silva Santos Almeida (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025 Orçamento Verde para a Transição Energética: Análise da Coerência entre Metas Climáticas e Gastos Públicos em Energia e Transporte no Brasil (2020-2024)
(Thesis) Main arguer
Juliana Fernandes Guimarães (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025 Dinâmica dos Preços das Ações em Resposta a Descobertas de Petróleo: Um Estudo de Caso da Descoberta da Galp na Namíbia
(Thesis) Main arguer
Matheus Oliveira Alves Silva (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025 Transmissão Assimétrica de uma Política Monetária Comum na Zona Euro: Evidência dos Canais do Crédito e da Habitação
(Thesis) Main arguer
Husztik Boróka Erzsebet (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025 Relação entre preços da habitação, taxas de juro e crédito à habitação em Portugal no período de 2008 a 2023
(Thesis) Main arguer
Margarida Isabel Ganhão Azeitão (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024 Desigualdades e crescimento económico
(Thesis) Main arguer
Rui Miguel Flamino Santos (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024 Financeirização e o Consumo Privado em Portugal
(Thesis) Main arguer
Ana Sofia Antunes Brito (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024 Aplicação de Modelos de Machine Learning para Previsão do Housing Price em Singapura
(Thesis) Main arguer
António Muinga Francisco (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024 Determinantes da Desigualdade de Rendimentos em Portugal: Uma Análise Temporal de 1980 a 2022
(Thesis) Main arguer
Filipa Augusta Costa de Carvalho (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024 As Políticas Fiscais não Convencionais como Instrumentos de Combate à Inflação
(Thesis) Main arguer
António Lourenço Almada Carvalho Branco Cerdeira (Master)
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal

Ad Hoc journal article review

Journal title (ISSN) Publisher
2025 - 2025 Economic Modelling (0264-9993) Elsevier B.V.
2025 - 2025 Heliyon (2405-8440) Elsevier B.V.

Association member

Society Organization name Role
2023/01/01 - Current Ordem dos Economistas
2023/11/12 - 2024/11/11 Associação Europeia de Economistas

Committee member

Activity description
Role
Institution / Organization
2025/09 - Current Specialised Committee of the BSc in Economics
Member
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal

Consulting

Activity description Institution / Organization
2026/01/30 - 2026/01/30 Economic Assessment of Government Bill No. 47/XVII/1 Assembleia da República, Portugal
2026/01/30 - 2026/01/30 Economic Assessment of Socialist Party Draft Law No. 349/XVII/1 Assembleia da República, Portugal

Course / Discipline taught

Academic session Degree Subject (Type) Institution / Organization
2026/02 - 2026/07 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025/09 - 2026/01 Microeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025/03 - 2025/08 Cálculo Económico e Empresarial Management; Sports Management; Economics (Licenciatura) Universidade Autónoma de Lisboa, Portugal
2024/03 - 2025/08 Economia do Trabalho e dos Recursos Humanos Economics (Licenciatura) Universidade Autónoma de Lisboa, Portugal
2025/02 - 2025/07 Macroeconomia II Licenciatura em Economia (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2025/02 - 2025/07 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Finanças e Contabilidade (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024/09 - 2025/01 Macroeconomia I Licenciatura em Economia (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024/09 - 2025/01 Introdução à Ciência Económica Licenciatura em Economia (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024/09 - 2025/01 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024/02 - 2024/08 Política Económica e Atividade Empresarial Gestão (Licenciatura) ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Portugal
2024/02 - 2024/07 Princípios de Economia Licenciatura em Informática e Gestão de Empresas (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2024/02 - 2024/07 Macroeconomia II Licenciatura em Economia (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2023/09 - 2024/01 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2023/02 - 2023/07 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Finanças e Contabilidade (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2022/09 - 2023/01 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2022/02 - 2022/07 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Finanças e Contabilidade (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2021/09 - 2022/01 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2019/09 - 2020/01 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal

Interview (newspaper / magazine)

Activity description Newspaper / Forum
2026/01/15 Baixar IMT e subir o IMI ajudaria a combater crise no arrendamento Jornal de Notícias
2026/01/06 Isenção fiscal para jovens comprarem casa "fez aumentar os preços para toda a população" Rádio Renascença

Mentoring / Tutoring

Topic Student name
2025/12 - Current The determinants of national savings and external savings, and the dependence of growth on external factors through domestic savings. António José Lucas Morales
Distinctions

Other distinction

2018 IBS TOP Master
ISCTE Business School, Portugal
2014 Nova Excellency Award
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal