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I obtained a Ph.D. degree in Statistics and Operations Research from the Faculdade de Ciências da http://www.cienciavitae.pt//en/4D14-9ADB-3D08Universidade de Lisboa (FCUL) in 2003 and I have been an Assistant Professor with a Tenure appointment since 2008. I obtained a M.Sc. degree in Probability and Statistics from the FCUL in 1994 and a graduation in Applied Mathematics from the University Lusíada of Lisbon (ULL) in 1990. I started my academic career in 1990 at the ULL and by now, I have lectured 28 curricular units. I also lectured several short courses in the framework of M.Sc. and Ph.D. programs, and several short courses specifically intended for the medical community. My Ph.D. studies focuses on Extreme Value Theory (EVT) and Bayesian statistics. In terms of international activity, I collaborated with Professor Samuel Kotz, from the George Washington University, Washington DC (USA) and we published 2 review papers, in 2010, that focus on one of the key distributions in EVT: the generalized Pareto distribution. These 2 papers have been cited in journals of many areas and were, for several years, in the "Top 25 Hottest Articles" of the Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. I am co-author of the 2014 Springer book entitled "Non-Linear Time Series: Extreme Events and Integer Value Problems" and of two book chapters (one international and one national). I co-author 3 papers with members of the Department of Statistics of the University Carlos III, Madrid (Spain). One of the papers is also co-authored by Professor Håvard Rue from King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (Saudi Arabia), one of the creators of the Bayesian software INLA. I mainly published in peer-reviewed international journals of the Probability and Statistics area but also in environment, wildfires and econometric journals. Presently my research interests still focus on EVT, copulas and space-time models in the context of environmental problems and wildfire modeling. In this framework, I was the Principal Investigator (PI) of a project entitled "Compound extremes in Mediterranean temperature, wind, and wildfires", which started in January 2023 and ended in December 2024 and was financed by FCUL funds for the Development of I&D projects. I was also the Co-PI of a project funded by Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT), entitled "Data Fusion and Calibration Methods for Spatial Risk Analysis", that ended in October 2021. I supervised several M.Sc. dissertations in various areas such as EVT, missing values, modeling association between two variables using copulas, spatial analysis of areal data from a Bayesian point of view, zero-inflated models, hurdle models and mediation and was the sole supervisor of a PhD thesis.
Identification

Personal identification

Full name
Patrícia Cortés de Zea Bermudez

Citation names

  • P. de Zea Bermudez
  • Patrícia Cortés de Zea Bermudez
  • Bermudez, Patrícia

Author identifiers

Ciência ID
4D14-9ADB-3D08
ORCID iD
0000-0002-7683-228X
Researcher Id
G-8027-2015
Scopus Author Id
6508329046

Email addresses

  • pcbermudez@fc.ul.pt (Professional)

Knowledge fields

  • Exact Sciences - Mathematics - Statistics and Probability

Languages

Language Speaking Reading Writing Listening Peer-review
Portuguese (Mother tongue)
Spanish; Castilian Proficiency (C2) Proficiency (C2) Proficiency (C2) Proficiency (C2)
English Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1) Advanced (C1)
French Upper intermediate (B2) Upper intermediate (B2) Elementary (A2) Upper intermediate (B2)
Education
Degree Classification
2003/02/18
Concluded
Statistics and Operations Research (PhD) / Estatística e Investigação Operacional (Doutoramento)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
"Bayesian Approach to Extreme Quantile Estimation" (THESIS/DISSERTATION)
Approved by unanimity with Distinction and Honors / Aprovado c/ Distinção Louvor
1994/01/20
Concluded
Statistics and Operations Research (MSc) / Estatística e Investigação Operacional (Mestrado)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
"Modelos de Previsão - Estudo da Poluição do Rio Vouga" (THESIS/DISSERTATION)
Very Good / Muito Bom
1990/09/28
Concluded
Applied Mathematics (Degree) / Matemáticas Aplicadas (Licenciatura)
Universidade Lusíada de Lisboa, Portugal
15 (out of 20)
Affiliation

Teaching in Higher Education

Category
Host institution
Employer
2024/08/01 - Current Associate Professor (University Teacher) Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2003/02/18 - 2024/07/31 Assistant Professor (University Teacher) Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2001/03/01 - 2003/02/17 Assistant (University Teacher) Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
1994 - 2001 Assistant (University Teacher) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova Medical School, Portugal
1994 - 2000 Assistant Professor (University Teacher) Universidade Lusíada de Lisboa, Portugal
1992 - 1994 Trainee Assistant (University Teacher) Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova Medical School, Portugal
1992 - 1994 Assistant Professor (University Teacher) Universidade Internacional, Portugal
1990 - 1994 Assistant Professor (University Teacher) Universidade Lusíada de Lisboa, Portugal
1990 - 1991 Assistant (University Teacher) Universidade Internacional, Portugal

Others

Category
Host institution
Employer
1996/02 - 1996/09 Member of the Studies Department (in the Insurance supervision authority) Instituto de Seguros de Portugal, Portugal
Instituto de Seguros de Portugal, Portugal
1995/08 - 1996/02 Vice-Director of the Statistics and Publications Department (in the Insurance supervision authority) Instituto de Seguros de Portugal, Portugal
Instituto de Seguros de Portugal, Portugal
1992 - 1994 Teaching at the Technical School of Health Services of Lisbon Escola Técnica dos Serviços de Saúde de Lisboa, Portugal
Projects

Grant

Designation Funders
2012/01 - 2014/12 Statistical Methods in Environmental and Epidemiological Processes Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
2007/09 - 2010/12 Statistical Methods in Genetics and Environment
Researcher
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
2003/09 - 2006/12 Statistical Modelling of Environmental and Genetic Data / Métodos Estatísticos para Dados de Ambiente e de Genética (MEDAG)
grant.Provided by PTCRIS: 44082
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia

Contract

Designation Funders
2023/01/01 - 2024/12/31 Compound extremes in Mediterranean temperature, wind and wildfires
100SPID8106
Principal investigator
Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal

Universidade de Lisboa Instituto Dom Luiz, Portugal

Universidade de Lisboa Instituto de Biossistemas e Ciências Integrativas, Portugal
FCiênciasID Associação para a Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Ciências
Concluded
2020/01/01 - 2023/12/31 Centre of Statistics and its Applications
UIDB/00006/2020
Researcher
FCiênciasID Associação para a Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Ciências, Portugal

Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
2020/01/01 - 2022/12/31 Strategic Project - UIDP /00006/2020
UIDP/00006/2020
2018/10/01 - 2022/09/30 Data Fusion and Calibration Methods for Spatial Risk Analysis / Métodos de Fusão e Calibração para Análise Espacial de Risco
PTDC/MAT-STA/28649/2017
Provided by PTCRIS: PTDC/MAT-STA/28649/2017
Co-Principal Investigator (Co-PI)
FCiênciasID Associação para a Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Ciências, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
2019/01/01 - 2019/12/31 Strategic Project / Projecto estratégico, Centro de Estatística e Aplicações
UID/MAT/00006/2019
Researcher
FCiênciasID Associação para a Investigação e Desenvolvimento de Ciências, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
2012/01/01 - 2014/12/31 Statistical Methods in Environmental and Epidemiological Processes / Métodos Estatísticos em Processos Ambientais e Epidemiológicos
PTDC/MAT/118335/2010
Researcher
Fundação da Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal

Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal

Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
2011/01/01 - 2013/12/31 Strategic Project / Projecto Estratégico - UI 6 - 2011-2012
PEst-OE/MAT/UI0006/2011
Researcher
Fundação da Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
2011/04/01 - 2011/07/31 NONLINEAR TIME SERIES MODELS AND THEIS EXTREMAL BEHAVIOUR
SFRH/BSAB/1138/2011
Researcher
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
2007/09/01 - 2010/12/31 Statistical Methods in Genetic and Environment / Métodos Estatísticos em Genética e Ambiente (MEGA)
PTDC/MAT/64353/2006
Researcher
Fundação da Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal

Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal

Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
Outputs

Publications

Book
  1. Scotto, Manuel; SOUSA, LISETE; Patrícia Cortés de Zea Bermudez; Daniel Peña. Symposium on Big Data in Finance, Retails and Commerce: Statistical and Computational Challenges. Portugal. 2017.
  2. Turkman, Kamil Feridun; Scotto, Manuel González; de Zea Bermudez, Patrícia. Non-Linear Time Series. Springer International Publishing. 2014.
    10.1007/978-3-319-07028-5
Book chapter
  1. P. de Zea Bermudez; Amaral Turkman, M.A.; K. F. Turkman. "Parameter Estimation of Bilinear Processes Using Approximate Bayesian Computation". In In Textos de Matemática 47/Mathematical Texts 47, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences and Technology (FCT), University of Coimbra (UC) Special edition in honor of the 60th anniversary of Doctor Nazaré Mendes Lopes, Full Professor of the Department of Mathematics, FCT, UC, 135-151. Portugal: Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences and Technology (FCT), University of Coimbra (UC), 2015.
    Published
  2. A. Stein; K. F. Turkman; P. de Zea Bermudez; R. Van Heerd; P. De Bruijn. "In Search of Spatial Extremes". In In Environmental Statistics: Analyzing Data for Environmental Policy, 8-32. United Kingdom, 1999.
Conference paper
  1. P. de Zea Bermudez; Norbert Schmitz; Turkman, Kamil; Wolfgang Urfer. "Analysis of Cardiovascular Data". Paper presented in V Congress of the Portuguese Statistical Society - 11 to 14 June 1997, Curia, 1997.
    Published
  2. P. de Zea Bermudez; Turkman, Kamil. "Estudo da Poluição do Rio Vouga.". Paper presented in II Annual Conference of the Portuguese Statistical Society - 20 to 23 June 1994, Luso, 1994.
    Published
Journal article
  1. Carlos C. DaCamara; Renata Libonati; Sílvia A. Nunes; P. de Zea Bermudez; José M.C. Pereira. Corresponding author: Carlos C. DaCamara. "Global-scale statistical modelling of the radiative power released by vegetation fires using a doubly truncated lognormal body distribution with generalized Pareto tails". Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications (2023): http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2023.129049.
    10.1016/j.physa.2023.129049
  2. Luis Gimeno-Sotelo; P. de Zea Bermudez; Iago Algarra; Luis Gimeno. "Modelling hydrometeorological extremes associated to the moisture transport driven by the Great Plains low-level jet". Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (2022): https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-022-02199-x.
    10.1007/s00477-022-02199-x
  3. P. de Zea Bermudez; J. Miguel Marín; HELENA VEIGA. "Integrated nested Laplace approximations for threshold stochastic volatility models". Econometrics and Statistics (2021): http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.08.006.
    10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.08.006
  4. Turkman, M.A.A.; Turkman, K.F.; de Zea Bermudez, P.; Pereira, S.; Pereira, P.; de Carvalho, M.. "Calibration of the bulk and extremes of spatial data". Revstat Statistical Journal 19 3 (2021): 309-325. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-85112318013&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
  5. de Carvalho, M.; Pereira, S.; Pereira, P.; de Zea Bermudez, P.. "An Extreme Value Bayesian Lasso for the Conditional Left and Right Tails". Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics (2021): http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-85119261292&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1007/s13253-021-00469-9
  6. L. M. André; P. de Zea Bermudez. "Modelling dependence between observed and simulated wind speed data using copulas". Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (2020): https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-020-01866-1.
    10.1007/s00477-020-01866-1
  7. P. de Zea Bermudez; J. Miguel Marín; Veiga, Helena. "Data cloning estimation for asymmetric stochastic volatility models". Econometric Reviews 39 10 (2020): 1057-1074. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2020.1770997.
    10.1080/07474938.2020.1770997
  8. Caetano, C.P.; De Zea Bermudez, P.. "Modeling large values of systolic blood pressure in the portuguese population". Revstat Statistical Journal 17 2 (2019): 163-186. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-85070677561&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
  9. Luzia Gonçalves; Ana Subtil; M. Rosário Oliveira; P. de Zea Bermudez. "ROC CURVE ESTIMATION: AN OVERVIEW". Revstat-Statistical Journal 12 1 (2014): 1-20. http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=ORCID&SrcApp=OrcidOrg&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=WOS_CPL&KeyUT=WOS:000333887900001&KeyUID=WOS:000333887900001.
  10. Alonso, Andres M.; de Zea Bermudez, Patricia; Scotto, Manuel G.. "Comparing generalized Pareto models fitted to extreme observations: an application to the largest temperatures in Spain". Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (2013): http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00477-013-0809-8.
    10.1007/s00477-013-0809-8
  11. De Zea Bermudez, P.; Mendes, Z.. "Extreme value theory in medical sciences: Modeling total high cholesterol levels". Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice 6 3 (2012): 468-491. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84865239049&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1080/15598608.2012.695673
  12. de Zea Bermudez, P.; Kotz, S.. "Parameter estimation of the generalized Pareto distribution-Part I". Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 140 6 (2010): 1353-1373. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-75949100050&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1016/j.jspi.2008.11.019
  13. de Zea Bermudez, P.; Kotz, S.. "Parameter estimation of the generalized Pareto distribution-Part II". Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 140 6 (2010): 1374-1388. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-75949083156&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1016/j.jspi.2008.11.020
  14. Mendes, J.M.; de Zea Bermudez, P.C.; Pereira, J.; Turkman, K.F.; Vasconcelos, M.J.P.. "Spatial extremes of wildfire sizes: Bayesian hierarchical models for extremes". Environmental and Ecological Statistics 17 1 (2010): 1-28. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-77049105157&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1007/s10651-008-0099-3
  15. De Zea Bermudez, P.; Mendes, J.; Pereira, J.M.C.; Turkman, K.F.; Vasconcelos, M.J.P.. "Spatial and temporal extremes of wildfire sizes in Portugal (19842004)". International Journal of Wildland Fire 18 8 (2009): 983-991. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-72149134611&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1071/WF07044
  16. De Zea Bermudez, P.; Amaral Turkman, M.A.. "Bayesian approach to parameter estimation of the generalized pareto distribution". Test 12 1 (2003): 259-277. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0043032889&partnerID=MN8TOARS.
    10.1007/BF02595822
  17. P. de Zea Bermudez; Amaral Turkman, M.A.; Turkman, K.F.. Corresponding author: Turkman, K.F.. "A predictive approach to tail probability estimation". Extremes (2001):
    10.1023/A:101654602
Preprint
  1. Patricia De Zea Bermudez; Soraia Pereira; Patrícia Pascoa; Célia M. Gouveia. "Compound Extremes and Their Role in Wildfire Dynamics: Insight from Portugal". 2024. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-plinius18-124.
    10.5194/egusphere-plinius18-124
  2. Patrícia Páscoa; Soraia Pereira; Patrícia de Zea Bermudez; Célia M. Gouveia. "The link between temperature and wind extremes with fire activity in Portugal in the 21st century". 2024. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-plinius18-90.
    10.5194/egusphere-plinius18-90
  3. Amaral Turkman, M.A.; Turkman, K.F.; P. de Zea Bermudez; Pereira, Soraia; Pereira, Paula; de Carvalho, Miguel. Corresponding author: Amaral Turkman, M.A.. "Calibration methods for spatial Data". 2020. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2009.13629.
  4. de Carvalho, Miguel; Pereira, Soraia; Paula Cristina Sequeira Pereira; P. de Zea Bermudez. "An extreme value Bayesian lasso for the conditional bulk and tail". 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.07164.
Working paper
  1. P. de Zea Bermudez; Juan Miguel Marín; Havard Rue; Veiga, Helena. 2021. "Integrated nested Laplace approximations for threshold stochastic volatility models / Working paper. Statistics and Econometrics". https://researchportal.uc3m.es/individual/act529495.
Activities

Oral presentation

Presentation title Event name
Host (Event location)
2024/10/03 The compound Extremes and Their Role in Wildfire Dynamics: insight from Portugal 18th PLINIUS Conference on Mediterranean Risks (https://meetings.copernicus.org/plinius18/home.html)
METEO Unit of the National Observatory of Athens (Greece)
2024/10/02 The link between temperature and wind extremes with fire ac¿vity in Portugal in the 21st century (https://meetings.copernicus.org/plinius18/home.html) 18th PLINIUS Conference on Mediterranean Risks (https://meetings.copernicus.org/plinius18/home.html)
(chania, Greece)
2023/05/30 Copula Modules-application to observed and simulated wind speed data Invited Seminar in the framework of the Ph.D. Program in Applied Physical Sciences
Department of Physics, University of Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro (Portugal)
2022/05/31 Extreme Value Theory Applied to Medical Sciences Invited Seminar in the framework of the Ph.D. Program in Health Science (HEADS)
Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto (Portugal)
2022/05/17 Modelação da dependência entre velocidade de vento observada e simulada usando copulas Science 22 - Meeting with Science and Technology in Portugal / Ciências 22, Encontro com a Ciência e Tecnologia em Portugal
FCT (Lisbon, Portugal)
2021/03/12 Modelling dependence between observed and simulated wind speed data using copulas UL Extremes Webinar (By zoom)
(Portugal)
2018/12/14 Estimating threshold stochastic volatility models using Nested Laplace Approximations 11th International Conference ERCIM WG on Comput. and Methodological Statistics (CMStatistics 2018) - Organized Invited Session: CO615: Advances in financial time series and econometrics
University of Pisa (Pisa, Italy)
2016/09/21 Modelação da abundância de Culex pipiens em Portugal Workshop in Modeling and Environmental Forecast in Health / Workshop em Modelação e Previsão Ambiental em Saúde
Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical, Universidade Nova de Lisboa (Lisbon, Portugal)
2014/07 Parameter Estimation of Bilinear Processes using Approximate bayesian computation (ABC); Session: Probability and Statistics National Meeting of the Portuguese Mathematical Society 2014 / Encontro Nacional da Sociedade Portuguesa de Matemática 2014
Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia, Universidade Nova de Lisboa (Monte da Caparica, Portugal)
2014/02/17 Parameter Estimation of Bilinear Processes Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) 3rd International Conference on Dynamics, Games, and Science
University of Porto (Porto, Portugal)
2013/07/01 Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) for Bilinear Processes First Meeting on Time Series Modelling and Computation
University Carlos III (Madrid, Spain)
2012/10/05 Nonlinear time series models - a Bayesian approach to bilinear parameter estimation IV Iberian Mathematical Meeting
(Valladolid, Spain)
2012/07/23 Statistical methodologies applied to environmental and ecological problems y-BIS–International Young Business and Industrial Statisticians and jSPE–Young Portuguese Statisticians / Session: ECOLOGICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICS
Faculty of Sciences and Technology, New University of Lisbon (Monte da Caparica, Portugal)
2011/06/17 The importance of the generalized Pareto distribution in the extreme value theory Seminar
Department of Statistics of the University Carlos III, Madrid (Madrid, Spain)
2010/09 Extreme Value Theory Applied to the Earth Sciences Second International Workshop on Data Analysis and Modelling in Earth Sciences (DAMES 2010) / Lecture of a short course
1998/10/30 Bayesian Predictive Approach to Extreme Quantile Estimation through Threshold Methods seminar
Department of Probability Theory and Statistics, Eötvös Loránd University (Budapest, Hungary)

Supervision

Thesis Title
Role
Degree Subject (Type)
Institution / Organization
2025/01/09 - Current Previsão da Ocupação Hoteleira em Portugal
Supervisor
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2024/12/05 - Current Sistemas de alarme num contexto de monitorização de turbinas eólicas
Supervisor
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2024/11/27 - Current Abordagem Bayesiana de modelos espaço-temporais aplicados a dados de pesca
Supervisor
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2023/12 - Current Extreme value theory applied to air pollution
Supervisor of Francisco Inácio Fialho
Statistics and Operations Research (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2018 - 2024/09/16 A 3D model-based approach for spatial bat risk assessment at wind farms
Supervisor of Sandra Cláudia Matias Rodrigues
Statistics and Operations Research - Biostatiscs and Bioinformatics (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2021/11/30 - 2024/01/15 Modelação da distribuição espacial de algumas espécies de tubarões de profundidade - uma abordagem com recurso a processos pontuais espaciais (https://repositorio.ulisboa.pt/handle/10451/63894)
Supervisor of Ricardo Jorge da Rocha Machado
Statistics and Operations Research (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2021/12/22 - 2023/09/18 Application of extreme value theory to seismology (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/61482)
Supervisor of Filipa Maria Simões Mendes
Statistics and Operations Research (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2022/12/24 - 2023/05/10 Análise Espacial do Número de Nascimentos Prematuros em Portugal: uma Abordagem Bayesiana (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/59076)
Supervisor of Ricardo Alberto Viegas Barros
Biostatistics (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2018/12/27 - 2022/04/07 Big Data em contexto real de negócio (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/54457)
Supervisor of Ricardo Ascenção Abreu
MSc in Mathematics Applied to Economics and Management (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2020/11 - 2021/06 Univariate and bivariate extremes in meteorology: an application to the Great Plains Low-Level Jet System (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/49021)
Supervisor of Luis Gimeno Sotelo
Statistics and Operations Research (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2018/12 - 2021/04 Bayesian approach to ecological monitoring data: latent growth curve models (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/48722)
Supervisor of Pedro Miguel da Conceição Oliveira
Biostatistics (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2018/12 - 2019/10 Copula Models for Dependence: Comparing Classical and Bayesian Approaches (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/39911)
Supervisor of Lídia Maria Branco Correia Martins André
Statistics and Operations Research (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2017/12 - 2018/11 Uma aplicação de teoria de valores extremos em ciências médicas (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/36438)
Supervisor of Constantino Pereira Caetano
Biostatistics (Master)
2016/11 - 2017/12 Análise da presença de variáveis mediadoras (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/31747)
Supervisor of Catarina Pereira Rodrigues da Venda
Statistics and Operations Research (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2013/09 - 2017/11 Métodos para Estimação dos Parâmetros da Distribuição de Pareto Generalizada: novas contribuições (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/30292)
Supervisor of André Simões Sintra
Statistics and Operations Research (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2012 - 2013 Abordagem bayesiana para modelar dados com excesso de zeros: aplicação à parasitologia (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/10433)
Supervisor of João Filipe Azevedo dos Santos
Statistics (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2012 - 2013 Seleção de variáveis na presença de valores omissos: uma aplicação na modelação do índice de massa corporal nos imigrantes africanos e brasileiros (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/9365)
Supervisor of Beatriz Preto Barrocas Afonso Goulão
Biostatistics (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2010 - 2011 Testes Não-Paramétricos para Validação de Modelos Extremais (http://hdl.handle.net/10451/54457)
Co-supervisor of Paulo Jorge Dias dos Santos
Statistics (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2010 - 2011 Modelos com excesso de zeros e modelos de duas partes – A sua utilização no estudo da Schistosomose
Supervisor of Daniel Vigário Olivença
Statistics (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2006 - 2007 Imputação Múltipla –Aplicação Prática aos dados do Inquérito ao Emprego
Supervisor of Ana Patrícia Martins
Probability and Statistics (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal

Event organisation

Event name
Type of event (Role)
Institution / Organization
2020/02/06 - 2020/02/07 "Workshop New Frontiers in Statistics of Extremes" was organized under the umbrella of the Research Project, Data Fusion and Calibration Methods for Spatial Risk Analysis, from FCT, Portugal. The event took place in the FCUL, Lisbon (https://workshopnfsextremes2020.weebly.com/). (2020/02/06 - 2020/02/07)
Workshop (Other)
Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal
2019/11/06 - 2019/11/09 "XXIV Congress of the SPE". I planned and coordinated the special session joining together the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research and the Statistical Portuguese Society (SPE). This event took place in Amarante, Portugal. (2019/11/06 - 2019/11/09)
Congress (Co-organisor)
Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, Portugal
2017/11/02 - 2017/11/03 "Symposium in Big Data in Finance, Retail, and Commerce Statistical and Computational Challenges". The event took place in Lisbon, Portugal. I was also responsible for the webpage construction assisted by Soraia Pereira, CEAUL and Paula Pereira, CEAUL (http://symposiumbigdata2017.weebly.com/) (2017/11/02 - 2017/11/03)
Symposium (Member of the Organising Committee)
Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal

Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain

Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, Portugal

Sociedad Española de Estadística y Investigación Operativa, Spain
2016/06/30 - 2016/07/02 "II Encontro Luso-galaico de Biometria/Ecologia/Ambiente", took place in Santiago de Compostela, Spain. (http://biometria.sgapeio.es/index.php/pt/comite-organizador) (2016/06/30 - 2016/07/02)
Meeting (President of the Organising Committee)
2014/09/27 - 2014/09/27 "Sessão de entrega do Prémio Estatístico Júnior 2014", FCUL. (Ceremony to give the awards for young statisticians 2014) Responsible for the web page construction (http://premiospejunior.weebly.com/). (2014/09/27 - 2014/09/27) Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, Portugal
2014/06/20 - 2014/06/20 "One-day Workshop on Spatial-Temporal Models in Epidemiology and Health", FCUL, Lisbon Date: 20 June 2014. Responsible for the web page construction, assisted by Marília Antunes (http://spatialtemporalepihealth.weebly.com). (2014/06/20 - 2014/06/20) Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal
2012/03/22 - 2012/03/23 "Course on Statistics in Clinical Trials". The course was lectured by Professor Nick Fieller (PhD), from the Department of Probability and Statistics of the University of Sheffield, UK. The course was held in FCUL, Lisbon. I was the unique organizer and the creator/maintainer of the webpage (http://courseclinicaltrials-ceaul.weebly.com). (2012/03/22 - 2012/03/23)
Other (Other)
Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal
2009/06/04 - 2009/06/05 "Statistical Thinking for Non-Statisticians in the Pharmaceutical Industry" held Lisbon. The course was lectured by Professor Richard Kay (Ph.D.), former Director of the Biostatistics and Programming areas of the PAREXEL International - Pharmaceutical Research Consultants. I was the sole organizer and creator of the course webpage - (http://ceaul.org/statistical-thinking-for-non-statisticians-in-the-pharmaceutical-industry/.). (2009/06/04 - 2009/06/05)
Other (Other)
Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal

Jury of academic degree

Topic
Role
Candidate name (Type of degree)
Institution / Organization
2024/12/19 Prediction of Goal Times in a Football Match: Application of a Bayesian Counting Process
(Thesis) Main arguer
Daniel de Melo Cabral (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2023/07/11 Contributions to Inference in Extremes based on Moment type Statistics
Thesis Member
Jessica Silva Lomba (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2022/07/19 Stochastic Partial Differential Equations and Applications in Bayesian Inference
Thesis Member
Sílvia Isabel Belo Guerra (PhD)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia, Portugal
2022/03/18 Modelos de crescimento populacional - teoria e aplicação a dados demográficos de São Tomé e Príncipe
(Thesis) Main arguer
Aunaty das Neves Cunha Fernando Pinheiro (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2019/07/25 Métodos paramétricos de screening em classificação supervisionada na presença de populações assimétricas
Thesis Member
Ana Sofia Monteiro Araújo Soares (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2018/03/23 Spatio-Temporal Methods and Models for Unemployment Estimation
Thesis Member
Soraia Alexandra Gonçalves Pereira (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2017/12/22 Bayesian prediction of glacial discharge in Antarctica using copulas
(Thesis) Main arguer
Mario Gómez Diaz (PhD)
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain
2017/03/10 Presbycusis patterns in the Portuguese population - Identification and association with epidemiological and genetic factors
(Thesis) Main arguer
Mariana Martins Epifânio Frazão Aparício (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2017/01/19 Statistical analysis of count series with periodic structure
Thesis Member
Cláudia Susana Pereira dos Santos (PhD)
Universidade de Aveiro, Portugal
2016/11/29 Estudo Crítico dos Valores de Prova
Thesis Member
Paulo José Figueira Semblano (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2016/09/10 Sistema De Alarme Bayesiano Ótimo Para Dados Epidemiológicos Espaciais
(Thesis) Main arguer
Clandio Timm Marques (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2016/07/25 Contributos para a Avaliação de Opções Financeiras
Thesis Member
Maria de Lurdes Vasconcelos Babo e Silva (PhD)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2016/06/26 Extreme Value Analysis of Competitive Freediving Records
(Thesis) Main arguer
Jessica Silva Lomba (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2015/12/15 A Bayesian hierarchical robust model to detect and identify exonic CNVs
(Thesis) Main arguer
Rui Carlos Pinto Borges (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2015/11/20 Modelos de medição psicométrica: avaliaçãao das valências matemáticas dos alunos do 1.º ano da FCUP à entrada do ensino superior
(Thesis) Main arguer
Paulo Alexandre Rua Trindade (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2015/07/15 Spatio-temporal modelling of environmental data
(Thesis) Main arguer
Luís Manuel dos Santos de Melo Margalho (PhD)
Universidade do Minho, Portugal
2014/12/09 Métodos Probabilísticos e Estatísticos na Gestão de Fogos Florestais
Thesis Member
Paula Cristina Sequeira Pereira (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2014/01/10 Metodologia Bayesiana e Adequação de Modelos
(Thesis) Main arguer
Maria João Fernandes Pereira Polidoro (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2013/12/11 Análise dos fatores associados à utilização de cuidados médicos por doentes hipertensos
(Thesis) Main arguer
Bernardete Andrade Pinheiro (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2013/07/25 Modelos Estatísticos para a Previsão de Inactividade de Pré-Pagos
(Thesis) Main arguer
Marta Gonçalves Cruces Simão Portugal (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2013/03/11 Modelação de dados espaço-temporais em segurança rodoviária
Thesis Member
Maria da Conceição Rodrigues Ribeiro (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2012/11 Modelos de previsão aplicados à otimização da gestão das actividades de um Call-Center
(Thesis) Main arguer
Marta Alexandra Lourenço Machado (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2012/07/19 Metodologia Jackknife na Estimção Paramétrica em Modelos Extremais: Programação em R
(Thesis) Main arguer
Pedro de Antas Guimarães Marques Martins (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2012/07/18 Estimating Wildlife Mortality at Wind Farms: accounting for carcass removal, imperfect detection and partial coverage
Thesis Member
Regina Maria Baltazar Bispo (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2010/12/22 Métodos estatísticos de screening em classificação supervisionada
Thesis Member
Sandra Cristina de Faria Ramos (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2008/02/28 O papel de Distribuições Condicionalmente Especificadas em Estatística Bayesiana
(Thesis) Main arguer
Elisete Maria Rodrigues Correia (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2007/07/19 Um modelo para estimar a probabilidade de morte nos cuidados intensivos para vítimas de traumatismos múltiplos
Thesis Member
Teresa Margarida Coimbra da Silva (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2006/04/07 Estimação do valor óptimo do problema de job-shop scheduling
(Thesis) Main arguer
Pedro Manuel da Silva Machado (Master)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2005/04/01 Hierarchical Bayesian Models for Epidemiological Analysis of Rare Events
Thesis Member
Isabel Cristina Maciel Natário (PhD)
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2005/03/21 Calibração Não Paramétrica na Estimação da Idade
(Thesis) Main arguer
Rui Manuel da Costa Martins (Master)
Universidade de Coimbra Faculdade de Ciencias e Tecnologia, Portugal

Association member

Society Organization name Role
2024/04 - Current Coordinator of the Phd course in Statistics and Operations Research
1998 - Current CEAUL - Centro de Estatística e Aplicações da Universidade de Lisboa Full member
2015 - 2018 Portuguese Statistical Society / Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística (SPE) Member of the Board of the SPE - Treasurer
2012 - 2015 Portuguese Statistical Society / Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística (SPE) Member of the Board of the General meetings / Vogal da Mesa da Assembleia Geral

Committee member

Activity description
Role
Institution / Organization
2021 - 2024 Scientific Commission of the degree in Applied Statistics at FCUL
Member
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2018 - 2021 Co-Coordinator (area of Probability and Statistics) of the Ph.D. Course in Statistics and Operations Research of FCUL
Other
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2018 - 2021 Member of the Coordinating Council of the Department of Statistics
Member
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2013 - 2018 Scientific Commission of the M.Sc. course in Statistics and Operations Research
Member
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2015 - 2016 Commission for the Restructuring of the M.Sc. in Statistics and Operational Research
Member
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2015 - 2016 Commission for the Restructuring of the M.Sc. in Statistics and Operational Research
Member
Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal

Consulting

Activity description Institution / Organization
2025/02 - 2026/04 Acquisition of CEAUL services by IMPA within the scope of the Project PRR C21-i07_01. The work focuses on the development of space-time models to describe, synthesize and predict the variability of parameters related to the fishing activity.
2015 - 2015 The project was entitled "Optimização de um sistema de filas de espera" and was contracted by the company Prosegur - Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. The goal of the work was to optimize the performance of the security system of control of the flow of the passengers in the airport of Lisbon performed by members of the Prosegur company. The work jointly done with Marília Antunes, present CEAUL coordinator. Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal
2013/07 - 2013/12 EDP Project - the goal of this project was to assess the meteorological risk of the electrical infrastructures in Portugal. The project was performed with several members of the CEAUL. Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal
2010 - 2011 This activity was contracted by EXIGO consultants and the Portuguese Court of Auditors. The CEAUL team worked in the project in the framework of a protocol signed between EXIGO Consultants and FCUL. The goal of the project was to analyze certain aspects of the operation of hospitals of the Portuguese National Health Service. Exigo Consultores, Portugal

Tribunal de Contas, Portugal

Universidade de Lisboa Centro de Estatística e Aplicações, Portugal

Fundação da Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal
1992 - 2000 Regular consultancy for the medical community while working at the Nova Medical School, Nova University of Lisbon. Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova Medical School, Portugal

Interview (newspaper / magazine)

Activity description Newspaper / Forum
2012 Interview about computation to the brazilian journal "Cálculo". Journal Cálculo

Mentoring / Tutoring

Topic Student name
2015 - 2016/01 NEO's Challenge 2015, organized by Santander Bank Soraia Pereira; Esdras Santos and Anny Muniz

Other jury / evaluation

Activity description Institution / Organization
2019/11 - Current Member of the jury for the "recognition of the Degree of Doctor of International Institutions" requested by Julio César Pereira. Thesis title: "Estimação do índice de abundância de um estoque pesqueiro com estrutura de correlação espacial: uma abordagem bayesiana"; Institution: University of São Paulo, Brazil Appointment: Despacho n.º 4636/2019 , Diário da República, 2.ª série N.º 87, 07 May 2019. Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
2019/04 - Current Member of the jury for the "recognition of the Degree of Doctor of International Institutions" requested by Marco Aurélio dos Santos Sanfins; Ph.D. thesis title: Cópulas para distribuições generalizadas de valores extremos multidimensionais; Institution: University Federal of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; Appointment: Despacho n.º 1684/2019, Diário da República, 2.ª série N.º 32, 14 February 2019. Universidade de Lisboa Faculdade de Ciências, Portugal
Distinctions

Award

2016 Best Poster (second place) - II Encontro Luso-Galaico de Biometria/Ecologia/Ambiente Santiago de Compostela, Spain, 30 June to 02 July 2016