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Joao Antonio Rodrigues Madeira. Completed the Título de Agregado in Economia in 2023/01/18 by ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Doutoramento in Economics in 2008/07/01 by Boston University, Mestrado in Political Economy in 2006/07/01 by Boston University Department of Economics and Licenciatura in Economia in 2002/06/01 by Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics. Is Associate Professor in ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa. Published 11 articles in journals. Has 2 section(s) of books and 1 book(s). Co-supervised 8 PhD thesis(es). Supervised 1 MSc dissertation(s). Has received 1 awards and/or honors. Participates and/or participated as Researcher in 1 project(s). Works in the area(s) of Social Sciences with emphasis on Economics and Business with emphasis on Economics. In his curriculum Ciência Vitae the most frequent terms in the context of scientific, technological and artistic-cultural output are: Ciclos economicos; Interest rates; New Keynesian models; Sticky prices; DSGE; Business cycles; Bayesian estimation; Firm-specific capital; Asset pricing; Bayesian techniques; DSGE models; Extrapolative expectations; Financial intermediation; Risk; Investment; Regulation; Endogenous leverage; Limited liability; Costly state verification; Deposit insurance; COVID-19; Bayesian Hamiltonian Monte Carlo; NPI; Vaccines; Booster; Variants of concern; Omicron; .
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Identification

Personal identification

Full name
JOÃO ANTÓNIO RODRIGUES MADEIRA

Citation names

  • Madeira, Joao

Author identifiers

Ciência ID
1411-B2B3-843A
ORCID iD
0000-0002-7380-9009
Google Scholar ID
3p5rkKMAAAAJ
Researcher Id
AEE-8058-2022
Scopus Author Id
56364340500

Email addresses

  • Joao.Antonio.Madeira@iscte-iul.pt (Professional)

Telephones

Mobile phone
  • 913152752 (Personal)

Addresses

  • Flat 12 Paragon House, Fawcett street, YO10 4BZ, York, North Yorkshire, United Kingdom (Personal)

Websites

Knowledge fields

  • Social Sciences - Economics and Business - Economics

Languages

Language Speaking Reading Writing Listening Peer-review
Portuguese (Mother tongue)
English Proficiency (C2) Proficiency (C2) Proficiency (C2) Proficiency (C2) Proficiency (C2)
French Beginner (A1) Beginner (A1) Beginner (A1) Beginner (A1) Beginner (A1)
Education
Degree Classification
2023/01/17 - 2023/01/18
Concluded
 Economia (Título de Agregado)
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Portugal
2003/09/01 - 2008/07/01
Concluded
 Economics (Doutoramento)
Boston University, United States
2006/07/01
Concluded
 Political Economy (Mestrado)
Boston University Department of Economics, United States
2003/07/01
Concluded
 Financial Markets (Pós-Graduação)
ISCTE Business School, Portugal
1998/10/01 - 2002/06/01
Concluded
 Economia (Licenciatura)
Universidade Nova de Lisboa Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal
 15
Affiliation

Teaching in Higher Education

Category
Host institution 		Employer
2024/01/19 - Current Associate Professor (University Teacher) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2022/09/01 - 2024/01/18 Assistant Professor (University Teacher) ISCTE Business School Departamento de Economia, Portugal
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2019/10/01 - 2022/08/31 Associate Professor (University Teacher) University of York, United Kingdom
2014/05/01 - 2019/09/30 Assistant Professor (University Teacher) University of York, United Kingdom
2008/09/01 - 2014/04/30 Assistant Professor (University Teacher) University of Exeter Business School, United Kingdom
Projects

Contract

Designation Funders
2010 - 2011 Labour supply, effort and productivity shocks: an experimental study
Unknown
Researcher
University of Exeter Business School, United Kingdom
Ongoing
Outputs

Publications

Book
  1. Cornea-Madeira, A.; Madeira, J.. Measuring Inflation Expectations Using Phillips Curve Models. {SAGE. 2023.
    Published • 10.4135/9781529628302
Book chapter
  1. Madeira, J.. "Case study on the running of Advanced Topics in Macroeconomics I". In Exemplos de Práticas Pedagógicas e Estratégias de Inovação Pedagógica no Iscte.. 2023.
    Published
  2. Madeira, J.. "Simulation and estimation of macroeconomic models in Dynare". In Handbook of research methods and applications in empirical macroeconomics. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2013.
    Published • 10.4337/9780857931023.00035
Journal article
  1. Adam Golinski; João Madeira; Dooruj Rambaccussing. "Return predictability, dividend growth, and the persistence of the price–dividend ratio". International Journal of Forecasting (2025): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.03.005.
    10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.03.005
  2. Boldea, O.; Cornea-Madeira, A.; Madeira, J.. "Disentangling the effect of measures, variants, and vaccines on SARS-CoV-2 infections in England: A dynamic intensity model". Econometrics Journal 26 3 (2023): 444-466. https://academic.oup.com/ectj/article/26/3/444/6998553?login=false.
    Published • 10.1093/ectj/utad004
  3. van der Kwaak, C.; Madeira, J.; Palma, N.. "The long-run effects of risk: An equilibrium approach". European Economic Review 153 (2023): https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0014292123000041?via%3Dihub.
    Published • 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104375
  4. Madeira, C.; Madeira, J.; Santos Monteiro, P.. "The Origins of Monetary Policy Disagreement: The Role of Supply and Demand Shocks". Review of Economics and Statistics (2023): 1-45.
    Published • 10.1162/rest_a_01383
  5. Cornea-Madeira, A.; Madeira, J.. "Econometric analysis of switching expectations in UK inflation*". Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 84 3 (2022): 651-673. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/14680084.
    Published • 10.1111/obes.12479
  6. Bask, M.; Madeira, J.. "Extrapolative expectations and macroeconomic dynamics: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model". International Journal of Finance and Economics 26 1 (2021): 1101-1111. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10991158.
    Published • 10.1002/ijfe.1838
  7. Madeira, C.; Madeira, J.. "The effect of FOMC votes on financial markets". Review of Economics and Statistics 101 5 (2019): 921-932. https://direct.mit.edu/rest.
    Published • 10.1162/rest_a_00770.
  8. Madeira, J.. "Assessing the empirical relevance of labour frictions to business cycle fluctuations". Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 80 3 (2018): 554-574. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/14680084.
    Published • 10.1111/obes.12215
  9. Madeira, J.; Palma, N.. "Measuring monetary policy deviations from the Taylor rule". Economics Letters 168 (2018): 25-27. https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/economics-letters.
    Published • 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.03.034
  10. Madeira, J.. "Firm-specific capital, inflation persistence and the sources of business cycles". European Economic Review 74 (2015): 229-243. https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/european-economic-review.
    Published • 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.12.004
  11. Madeira, J.. "Overtime labor, employment frictions, and the New Keynesian phillips curve". Review of Economics and Statistics 96 4 (2014): 767-778. https://direct.mit.edu/rest.
    Published • 10.1162/REST_a_00457

Other

Other output
  1. The origins of monetary policy disagreement: the role of supply and demand shocks. VOXEU COLUMN. 2023. Madeira, C.; Madeira, J.; Santos Monteiro, P.. https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/origins-monetary-policy-disagreement-role-supply-and-demand-shocks.
  2. How supply shocks drive disagreement in monetary policy. SUERF Policy Brief. 2023. Madeira, C.; Madeira, J.; Santos Monteiro, P.. https://www.suerf.org/suerf-policy-brief/76585/how-supply-shocks-drive-disagreement-in-monetary-policy.
Activities

Oral presentation

Presentation title Event name
Host (Event location)
2024/07/26 The Behavioral and Institutional Determinants of Gift Exchange: Evidence From a Real-Effort Labor Market Experiment ERMAS
2023/10/20 Econometric analysis of an adaptive beliefs model of wage and unemployment fluctuations ASSET
2023/02/22 The origins of monetary policy disagreement: the role of supply and demand shocks Seminar
ISEG
2023/01/12 Inflation Dynamics and Forecasting EBES
2022/07/29 Intraday dynamics of behavioral heterogeneity in stock prices ERMAS
2022/07/22 Econometric analysis of an adaptive beliefs model of wage and unemployment fluctuations UECE
2021 The origins of monetary policy disagreement Econometric Society Delhi Winter School
2020 The origins of monetary policy disagreement
Banco de Portugal
2019 Wage inflation and unemployment under heterogeneous expectations with evolutionary learning EEA
2019 The Origins of Monetary Policy Disagreement: The Role of Supply and Demand Shocks ERMAS
2019 The Origins of Monetary Policy Disagreement: The Role of Supply and Demand Shocks PEJ
2019 The origins of monetary policy disagreement
University of Manchester
2018 Persistence of the Price-Dividend Ratio in a Present-Value Model of Stock Prices PEJ
2018 Persistence of the Price-Dividend Ratio in a Present-Value Model of Stock Prices ERMAS
2017 Why don't wages fall during recessions? An experimental study ERMAS
2017 The effect of FOMC votes on financial markets
Durham University
2015 The Effect of FOMC Votes on Financial Markets IAAE
2015 The effect of FOMC votes on financial markets PEJ
2015 The effect of FOMC votes on financial markets
ISCTE
2014 The effect of FOMC votes on financial markets MMF
2014 The effect of FOMC votes on financial markets
Paris School of Economics
2013 Assessing the empirical relevance of labor frictions to business cycle fluctuations CEF
2012 The Increased Importance of Asset Price Misalignments for Business Cycle Dynamics, WEHIA
2011 Firm-specific capital, inflation persistence and the sources of business cycles CEF
2011 Firm-specific capital, inflation persistence and the sources of business cycles
University of Reading
2010 A New Keynesian Model with Overtime Labor EEA
2010 A New Keynesian model with overtime labor
Uppsala University
2010 A New Keynesian model with overtime labor Birkbeck College
Birkbeck College
2009 A New Keynesian model with overtime labor MMF
2009 A New Keynesian model with overtime labor
University of Bristol
2009 A New Keynesian model with overtime labor PEJ
2009 The Increased Importance of Asset Price Misalignments for Business Cycle Dynamics PEJ

Supervision

Thesis Title
Role 		Degree Subject (Type)
Institution / Organization
2022/11/30 - Current Micro créditos
Supervisor of Miguel Maria Machado Santos
ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2018/01/01 - 2022/01/01 Essays on Labor Market Fluctuations
Co-supervisor of Fikret Bilenkisi
 Economics (PhD)
University of York Department of Economics and Related Studies, Portugal
2015/01/01 - 2019/01/01 Essays on Individual Decision Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Co-supervisor of Yudistira Permana
 Economics (PhD)
University of York Department of Economics and Related Studies, Portugal
2011/01/01 - 2014/12/31 Three essays on monetary policy and learning
Co-supervisor of Sarunas Girdenas
 Economics (PhD)
University of Exeter Business School, Portugal
2011/01/01 - 2014/01/01 Iterative Reasoning and Markets: Three Experiments
Co-supervisor of Lawrence Choo
 Economics (PhD)
University of Exeter Business School, Portugal
2010/01/01 - 2013/12/31 Essays on Interaction Between Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Co-supervisor of Yuting Bai
 Economics (PhD)
University of Exeter Business School, Portugal
2009/01/01 - 2013/12/31 Essays on redistributive policies and household finance with heterogeneous agents
Co-supervisor of Sylwia Patrycja Hubar
 Economics (PhD)
University of Exeter Business School, Portugal
2009/01/01 - 2013/01/01 Essays on Fiscal Policy and Political Economy
Co-supervisor of Carolina Achury
 Economics (PhD)
University of Exeter Business School, Portugal
2009/01/01 - 2012/01/01 Essays on Monetary Policy
Co-supervisor of Christoph Himmels
 Economics (PhD)
University of Exeter Business School, Portugal

Jury of academic degree

Topic
Role 		Candidate name (Type of degree)
Institution / Organization
2021 Terms-of-trade shocks, heterogeneous firms, and total factor productivity Hui-Lan Chang (PhD)
University of York, United Kingdom
2018 The Communication of US Monetary Policy and its Effects
President of the jury
 Fatih Kansoy (PhD)
University of Nottingham, United Kingdom
2017 Essays in International Macroeconomics: Global Liquidity, Cross-border Spillovers, and Emerging Economies Ratih Puspitasari (PhD)
University of York, United Kingdom
2015 Experiments on Decision-making under Risk Wenting Zhou (PhD)
University of York, United Kingdom
2009 Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Turkey Cem Cebi (PhD)

Ad Hoc journal article review

Journal title (ISSN) Publisher
2020 - Current Journal of Money Credit and Banking
2020 - Current SN Business & Economics
2019 - Current Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
2019 - Current Oxford Economic Papers
2019 - Current European Journal of Finance
2017 - Current Plos One
2015 - Current Empirical Economics
2014 - Current Energy Policy
2012 - Current Scottish Journal of Political Economy
2012 - Current Bulletin of Economic Research
2009 - Current Journal of Economic Theory
2009 - Current Fiscal Studies

Conference scientific committee

Conference name Conference host
2022 - 2022 Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal

Course / Discipline taught

Academic session Degree Subject (Type) Institution / Organization
2014 - Current Experimental Economics University of York, United Kingdom
2014 - Current Macroeconomics I University of York, United Kingdom
2014 - Current Economics 2 - Macroeconomics University of York, United Kingdom
2014 - Current Introduction to accountancy University of York, United Kingdom
2024/02 - 2025/07 Teoria e Política Monetária Curso Institucional em Escola de Gestão (Curso de mestrado (conclusão do curso de especialização)) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2023/02 - 2025/07 Macroeconomia II Licenciatura em Economia (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2023/09 - 2025/01 Tópicos Avançados em Macroeconomia I (Doutoramento) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2023/09 - 2025/01 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2022/09 - 2023/01 Macroeconomia Licenciatura em Gestão (Licenciatura) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2022/09 - 2023/01 Tópicos Avançados em Macroeconomia I Doutoramento em Finanças (Doutoramento) ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa, Portugal
2014 - 2015 Structure and Regulation of Financial Markets University of York, United Kingdom
2008 - 2014 Introduction to Finance (Bachelor) University of Exeter Business School, United Kingdom
2008 - 2014 Money and Banking 2 (Bachelor) University of Exeter Business School, United Kingdom
2008 - 2014 Economic Issues: Theory and Policy (Bachelor) University of Exeter Business School, United Kingdom
2009 - 2013 Economics of Financial Crisis University of Exeter Business School, United Kingdom

Interview (newspaper / magazine)

Activity description Newspaper / Forum
2009 Interview about unemployment numbers (specifically on a figures release showing a fall in unemployment in Devon but an increase in the rest of the UK) Express & Echo newspaper

Interview (tv / radio show)

Program Topic
2015 - Current Interview for BBC Radio York Interview about inflation (specifically to comment on statements by the Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, regarding the possibility of negative inflation due to falling oil prices),
2013 - Current Interview for BBC Radio Devon Interview about the banking crisis in Cyprus (specifically on the international bailout and on the plan to impose losses on savers), 18/
Distinctions

Other distinction

2009 Fellow of the Higher Education Academy